HYBRIDS: BP: Refinancing Perps

Sep-11 12:49

XS2193661324 BPLN 3.25 NC26 is a €2.5bn Hybrid callable in the 22 March 2026 - 22 June 2026 window.
• In the Q1 earnings call, the company said several times that they were focusing both on Net Debt reduction (to $14-18bn by 2027) and that the S&P 10% per year (25% over 10yrs) rule would be considered.
• With $13.7bn of perps outstanding, the company could issue just €1.3bn when they refinance.
• US05565QDU94 BPLN 4.375 was called 1st Sep 2025.
• Original outstanding was $2.5bn
• $1.3bn was Tendered Feb 2024 leaving $1.2bn.
• BP issued $2.5bn across EUR,GBP and USD on 18/19 Nov 2024.
• The CFO said that maturity window with regard to the hybrid stack doesn't open until June. This may imply that nothing imminent will happen but the company did take the opportunistic approach of refinancing the Sep 25 Perp some 10 Months early. One to watch given current strength.

(BPLN; Sub A3/BBB/A-)

Historical bullets

GBP: GBP/USD Targets 50-dma in CPI Reaction

Aug-12 12:40

In tandem with the move in Treasuries, USD snaps lower on the inflation print - tripped new daily lows for the greenback - in GBP/USD in particular this has prompted a new weekly high and a test at the 50-dma of 1.3502. Clearance above this level would further reverse the downleg off the late July high and put markets near 3% off the early August low.

US DATA: Supercore CPI Above Expectations In July

Aug-12 12:37
  • Core services excl OER & primary rents ('supercore'): 0.479% M/M after 0.212%. Latest 3mth av of 0.251%
  • Core services excl all shelter: 0.538% M/M after 0.361%. Latest 3mth av of 0.318%
  • Limited analyst estimates for ex OER & rents had averaged 0.30% M/M, ranging from 0.2 to 0.42
  • Core goods inflation looks to have come in softer however at 0.21% M/M vs analyst expectations of ~0.4% - we'll revert on this shortly. 
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BONDS: A 10 big Ticks Jump in Tnotes

Aug-12 12:36
  • A 10 ticks jump higher for the US Tnotes, the YoY CPI comes 1 tenth below consensus, although CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY comes 1 tenth higher.
  • Our Data team is going through the details, and for now the moves are still somewhat limited, with the initial resistance of 112.09+ untested, printed a 112.06 high.