FED: Beige Book: Some Signs Of Loosening Labor Market

Apr-23 18:31

The April Beige Book summary of Employment conditions: "Employment was little changed to up slightly in most Districts, with one District reporting a modest increase, four reporting a slight increase, four reporting no change, and three reporting a slight decline. This is a slight deterioration from the previous report with a few more Districts reporting declines."

  • Prior edition (Feb): "Employment nudged slightly higher on balance, with four Districts reporting a slight increase, seven reporting no change, and one reporting a slight decline."
  • Note that wage growth slowed overall for yet another report (February's also noted a slowdown in multiple districts), with some signs of loosening in the labor market - though uncertainty over immigration policy appears to be an increasing issue for labor supply:
  • "Hiring was generally slower for consumer-facing firms than for business-to-business firms. The most notable declines in headcount were in government roles or roles at organizations receiving government funding. Several Districts reported that firms were taking a wait-and-see approach to employment, pausing or slowing hiring until there is more clarity on economic conditions. In addition, there were scattered reports of firms preparing for layoffs. Most Districts and markets reported an improvement in overall labor availability, although there were some reports of constraints on labor supply resulting from shifting immigration policies in certain sectors and regions. Wages generally grew at a modest pace, as wage growth slowed from the previous report in multiple Districts."

Historical bullets

GBPUSD TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Mar-24 18:30
  • RES 4: 1.3175 High Oct 4 2024  
  • RES 3: 1.3119 76.4% retracement of the Sep 26 ‘24 - Jan 13 bear leg
  • RES 2: 1.3048 High Nov 6 ‘24
  • RES 1: 1.3015 High MAr 20 and the bull trigger  
  • PRICE: 1.2904 @ 16:51 GMT Mar 24 
  • SUP 1: 1.2886 Low Mar 21     
  • SUP 2: 1.2855 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.2714 50-day EMA and a short-term pivot support  
  • SUP 4: 1.2556 Low Feb 28      

The GBPUSD trend condition remains bullish and the latest shallow pullback is considered corrective. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a clear dominant uptrend. The pair has recently breached a Fibonacci retracement at 1.2924, 61.8% of the Sep 26 ‘24 - Jan 13 bear leg. The clear break of this price point opens 1.3048, the Nov 6 2024 high. Initial firm support to watch is 1.2855, the 20-day EMA.                

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

Mar-24 18:28

RRP usage slips to $196.565B this afternoon from $200.850B last Friday. Compares to $58.770B (lowest level since mid-April 2021) on February 14. The number of counterparties at 43.

reverse repo 03242025

MNI EXCLUSIVE: Canadian Manufacturing Group President On US Tariff Impact

Mar-24 18:20

MNI interviews head of Canadian manufacturing group on tariff wars in podcast -- On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com