EURGBP TECHS: Bearish Threat

Apr-30 04:59
  • RES 4: 0.8704 76.4% retracement of the Nov 20 - Feb 14 bear cycle
  • RES 3: 0.8683 High Jan 2
  • RES 2: 0.8665 61.8% retracement of the Nov 20 - Feb 14 bear cycle
  • RES 1: 0.8600/45 High Apr 24 / 23
  • PRICE: 0.8534 @ 05:58 BST Apr 30
  • SUP 1: 0.8531 Intraday low
  • SUP 2: 0.8521/8504 Low Apr 17 / Low Mar 8
  • SUP 3: 0.8498/93 Low Feb 14 / Low Aug 23 2023 and key support
  • SUP 4: 0.8454 76.4% of the Mar 7 - Sep 26 ‘23 bull phase

EURGBP traded lower Monday having started the week on a bearish note. The extension down undermines a recent bullish theme and instead highlights potential for a deeper retracement. This has exposed 0.8521, the Apr 17 low. Clearance of this level would signal scope for a move towards the key support at 0.8498/93, the Feb 14 low and Aug 23 2023 low. Key resistance has been defined at 0.8645, the Apr 23 high.

Historical bullets

MNI: POWELL SAYS PCE INFLATION CAME IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS

Mar-29 15:26



  • MNI: POWELL SAYS PCE INFLATION CAME IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS

MNI: US FEB PERSONAL INCOME +0.3%; NOM PCE +0.8%

Mar-29 12:30



  • MNI: US FEB PERSONAL INCOME +0.3%; NOM PCE +0.8%
  • US FEB PCE PRICE INDEX +0.3%; +2.5% Y/Y
  • US FEB CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +0.3%; +2.8% Y/Y
  • US FEB UNROUNDED PCE PRICE INDEX +0.333%; CORE +0.261%

FRANCE AUCTION PREVIEW: On offer next week

Mar-29 10:32

E11.0-12.5bln of LT OATs on Thursday 4 April (a slightly smaller auction than in February or March):

  • the 3.50% Nov-33 OAT (ISIN: FR001400L834)
  • the 3.25% May-55 OAT (ISIN: FR001400OHF4)
  • the 4.00% Apr-60 OAT (ISIN: FR0010870956)
  • the 1.75% Jun-39 Green OAT (ISIN: FR0013234333)
Up to E7.2bln of 13/22/24/51-week BTFs on offer Tuesday 2 April:
  • E3.1-3.5bln of the new 13-week Jul 3, 2024 BTF
  • E0.1-0.5bln of the 22-week Sep 4, 2024 BTF
  • E1.3-1.7bln of the 24-week Sep 18, 2024 BTF
  • E1.1-1.5bln of the 51-week Mar 26, 2025 BTF