A broader bear threat in GBPUSD remains present and the latest pullback reinforces this theme. A stronger reversal lower would refocus attention on key support and the bear trigger at 1.2519, the Feb 5 low. Clearance of this level would open 1.2500, the Dec 13 low, and 1.2432, a Fibonacci retracement. For bulls resistance levels to watch are unchanged at 1.2775, the Jan 25 high and 1.2827, the Dec 28 high and key bull trigger.
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GBPUSD remains in consolidation mode. Key resistance is unchanged at 1.2827, the Dec 28 high, and key support lies at 1.2597, the Jan 17 low. Both price points represent important directional triggers. Clearance of 1.2827 would resume the uptrend and open 1.2881, a Fibonacci retracement. For bears, a breach of 1.2597 would highlight a short-term reversal and signal scope for weakness towards the 1.2500 handle, the Dec 13 low.
A bearish cycle in Bobl futures remains intact, however, recent gains signal potential for a continued correction higher near-term. The contract has traded above the 20-day EMA, at 117.978, and this has exposed resistance at 118.590, the Jan 12 high and a key short-term resistance. Clearance of this level would highlight a stronger reversal. On the downside, key support and the bear trigger is unchanged at 117.280, the Jan 25 low.
EURUSD maintains a bearish theme and a downtrend remains intact for now. 1.0822, the Jan 23 low, has been breached and this confirms a resumption of the current downtrend. Sights are on 1.0793, a Fibonacci retracement. On the upside, clearance of 1.0932, the Jan 24 high, would signal scope for a stronger recovery and expose key short-term resistance at 1.0998, the Jan 5 high and a reversal trigger.