EU FINANCIALS: Banca Monte dei Paschi: 3Q25 Results Headlines         

Nov-07 08:24

(MONTE; Baa3pos/NR/BBB-)        

Credit positive. Better revenue driven by better trading income and lower provisions combine to produce a very decent pre-tax income beat. More clarity on the combination with Mediobanca in Q1 '26 CMD.

  •   Net Revenue €1,000mn  vs est. €967mn  (-4.5% QoQ / -0.7% YoY)
  •    Net Interest Income €544mn  vs est. €541mn  (-1.3% QoQ / -8.7% YoY)
  •      Net Fee & Commission Income €382mn  vs est. €376mn  (-5.5% QoQ / 7.4% YoY)
  •      Investment Income €19mn  vs est. €24mn  (-24.4% QoQ / -28.4% YoY)
  •      Net Trading Income €52mn  vs est. €23mn  (-17.6% QoQ / 121.5% YoY)
  •  Operating Expenses €468mn  vs est. €476mn  (-0.6% QoQ / 0.1% YoY)
  •    Personnel Expenses €320mn  vs est. €320mn  (0.3% QoQ / 3.4% YoY)
  •  Loan Loss Provision €79mn  vs est. €104mn  (-5.9% QoQ / -17.9% YoY)
  •  Pre-Tax Income €473mn  vs est. €354mn  (3.0% QoQ / 21.2% YoY)
  •  Net Income €474mn  vs est. €366mn  (-1.1% QoQ / 16.5% YoY)
  • CET1 Ratio 16.9% vs est. 16.1%

Historical bullets

SOFR: SFRZ6/H7 Lifted

Oct-08 08:11

SFRZ6/H7 paper paid -0.5 on ~6.6K, taken bid over for the balance of an 8K order, with another ~1.1K lots trading on the follow. Small bid left.

FRANCE: Suspension Of Pension Reform Would Risk Intra-Coalition Rancour

Oct-08 08:04

Caretaker Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, speaking outside Matignon after the first day of meetings with various political parties in an effort to break through the country's political paralysis, claims that "talks so far are showing a willingness to get this budget through by year-end". Lecornu will present his findings to President Emmanuel Macron later this evening. Adds, "Reducing the deficit is key for France's credibility."

  • As noted earlier, there have been some signals that the caretaker administration is considering rolling back Macron's flagship pension reforms in order to gain support from the centre-left Socialist Party (PS).
  • Lecornu says that among parties of the centre and centre right, "there is a desire to have a budget for France before December 31 of this year," adding, "This desire creates a movement and a convergence, obviously, which removes the prospects of dissolution."
  • The caretaker PM meets with representatives of the PS at 09:00BST/10:00CET, the environmentalist Ecologists at 11:15BST/12:15CET and the left-wing Communists later in the day.
  • Education Minister and former PM Elisabeth Borne's raising of the prospect of suspending the 2023 pension reform may draw PS support for a budget, but risks rancour with the right of the governing coalition. Arnaud Pericard, spokesperson for the centre-right Horizons, said to FranceInfo, "I understand that it is being put forward, but it is not a good idea," with the conservative Les Republicans (LR) also likely to object. Should Horizons and LR vote down (rather than abstain) on any repeal, their votes would outweigh those of the PS. 

EQUITY OPTIONS: Record Put Spread Option in Aston Martin

Oct-08 08:02

AML (19th Dec) 68/58ps 1x2, bought for 2 and 3 in 100k (100k x 200k).