OIL: Americas End of Day Oil Summary: Crude Declines

As we'd suggested, the new statement cleans up the language in the first two paragraphs a little, with a slightly dovish twist. 

• It maintains the language around the "swings in net exports", but makes note of growth in economic activity having "moderated in the first half of the year" (versus the prior mention of "has continued to expand at a solid pace"). That's potentially a nod to softer domestic demand amid the swings in headline GDP. We expect this to be addressed by Powell in his press conference at 2:30pm.
• The language about the labor market (unemployment rate remains low, conditions remain solid) and inflation (remains somewhat elevated) are unsurprisingly unchanged.
• The removal of "has diminished but" re uncertainty (which still "remains elevated") in then 2nd paragraph was fully expected, and the two dissents by Waller and Bowman in favor of a cut were also expected by most.

• Treasury futures pare losses after the FOMC kept rate steady, Fed Govs Waller & Bowman dissented in favor of a 25bp cut. Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades -3.5 at 111-08 (111-00.5 low, 111-14.5 high).
• Key support is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme. First support is at 110-19+, the Jul 24 low. Resistance above at 111-13+, the Jul 10 high, has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal and open 111-28, the Jul 3 high.
• Curves mildly steeper: 2s10s +0.953 at 45.898, 5s30s +1.393 at 96.921
• Cross asset: Stocks mildly higher (SPX eminis +8.5 at 6414.5), Gold weaker at 3298.0, Bbg US$ index pares gains: 1214.61 (+4.63).

Changes in the July FOMC statement vs the previous meeting (June):