EM CEEMEA CREDIT: Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank: Q3 earnings
Oct-22 13:21
(ADIBUH: A2/A+/NR)
UAE’s Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank posted Q3 earnings. At a glance, a neutral read for credit.
The 9M show Profit Before Tax +16% y/y at AED6.1bn with Net Profit Margin marginally lower at 4.17% but still solid, B/S expansion +21% y/y at AED270bn, efficiency gains (C/I ratio down to 28.3%) and improving asset quality (NPA 3.3%)
The Q3 figures show Net Financing Income at AED2.84bn (vs AED2.3bn in 3Q24) and Net F&C at AED541mn (vs AED530mn in 3Q24). Impairments over the period increased y/y to AED206mn. PBT sat at AED2.09bn, up from AED1.80bn for 3Q24. Net income was +14% y/y AED1.83bn.
Total assets show B/S expansion reaching AED270bn. The capital position remains adequate with CET1 at 13% and CAR at 16.65%.
The DMO will kick off issuance for the week on Tuesday with its penultimate long-dated auction of 2025 and final 30-year auction of the year. On offer will be GBP1.5bln of the on-the-run 5.375% Jan-56 gilt. We note that there was a small 0.15bp flattening of the curve when the auction size was announced last week. This is obviously a very, very marginal move but its still notable for an auction size announcement. The last 30-year auction was for the 4.375% Jul-54 gilt on 8 Apil and was for GBP2.25bln nominal which would have been closer to GBP2.00bln for the 5.375% Jan-56 gilt in cash terms.
The smaller auction size follows the DMO’s announcement on 3 September that the auction of the 5.375% Jan-56 gilt which had been scheduled for 2 December would be removed from the calendar (this announcement was made on 3 September). There will instead be only one long-dated auction in FQ3 with the 1.50% Jul-53 green gilt on offer on 21 October, although there will still be a 15-year syndication held in October.
Tuesday’s auction will be the first for the 5.375% Jul-56 gilt after its launch via syndication on 20 May. The syndication saw a decent book size of GBP73.1bln but was notable in that the DMO did not upsize the transaction (it usually does so substantially if demand is strong).
There have no 20+ year non-linker operations since July, so this auction will be seen as a litmus test for long-dated gilt demand.
US TSYS: Tsys Draws Selling on Fed Bostic Comments
Sep-22 13:10
Treasury futures dipped briefly, rebound after comments from Fed Bostic: sees little reason for additional rate cuts "for now", labor market "not in crisis.
Currently, the Dec'25 10Y trades +4 at 112-28 (yld 4.1216% -.0058) vs. 112-28.5 low - technical resistance well above at 113-29 (High Sep 11 and the bull trigger); Support at 112-22/112-15+ (Low Sep 19 / High Aug 5 and 14).
Curves mixed: 2s10s -.186 at 55.192, 5s30s +2.173 at 108.512.
US$ index near lows, Bbg's BBDXY -1.91 at 1196.59.
US TSYS: /STIR: Bank of America Recommend Paying Apr Fed OIS & 2s10s Flatteners
Sep-22 13:09
Bank of America issued two new trade recommendations late last week, based on their view of a more cautious Fed, namely paying April FOMC-dated OIS and initiating 2s10s flatteners.
For the former, they note that the April FOMC is priced “below the end '26 median Fed dot, which seems overdone with Powell at helm”.
On the latter, they also factor in their Fed view, as well as positive carry.