US TSYS: A Touch Softer On Import prices, Although Post-Data Moves Limited
Aug-15 12:35
Tsys weaken a little on the back of firmer-than-expected import price readings (albeit they were subjected to negative revisions).
- This outweighs the retail sales and Empire manufacturing data, with the former deviating little from wider expectations and upwards revisions to the prior reading noted.
- TY futures to fresh session lows at 111-22+, but the move lacks any real traction, sticking within this week’s pre-existing range.
- Yields flat to 2.5bp firmer on the day, curve steeper.
Want to read more?
Find more articles and bullets on these widgets:
Historical bullets
US TSYS: Post-PPI React
Jul-16 12:35
- Treasury futures inch higher after lower than expected PPI inflation measures
- Currently, Sep'25 10Y contract trades +7.5 at 110-16.5 (110-08.5L / 110-16.5H). Initial technical resistance above at 111-01 (20-day EMA). Support below at 110-08.5 (Low Jul 14)
- Curves remain flatter/off lows: 2s10s -1.189 at 52.551; 5s30s -1.279 at 96.631.
- USD: Modest dip lower for the greenback on the release, most notable from the move from 148.80 to 148.50 for USDJPY eroding a very small portion of yesterday’s advance for now.
MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%
Jul-16 12:30
- MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%
- US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI EX FOOD, ENERGY, TRADE SERVICES +0.0%
- US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI Y/Y +2.3%, EX FOOD, ENERGY Y/Y +2.6%
- US JUN PPI: FOOD +0.2%; ENERGY +0.6%
- US JUN PPI: GOODS +0.3%; SERVICES -0.1%; TRADE SERVICES +0.0%
US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Downplays More Trade Deals By Aug 1
Jul-16 12:21
Download Full Report Here
- President Donald Trump will meet the Crown Prince of Bahrain for an investment-focused bilateral meeting, then sign bills at 15:00 ET 20:00 BST.
- Trump said pharmaceutical tariffs could be announced on August 1, starting low and building to a "very high tariff".
- Trump announced a deal with Indonesia, but downplayed the likelihood of more deals before August 1. He said he could strike “two or three” deals before the deadline and would “probably” impose a little over 10% on smaller countries that did not receive tailored rates.
- Canadian PM Mark Carney conceded that a US trade deal is unlikely to lift all tariffs.
- Lack of retaliation from trading partners has allowed the US to collect duties at a rate that implies USD$240 billion additional revenue per year.
- The Senate will vote on Trump's rescission package this evening after overcoming Republican opposition. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) will take a second run at advancing three crypto bills, after conservatives tanked a rule vote yesterday.
- Trump and OMB Director Vought are hinting that mismanagement of a renovation project could justify Fed Chair Powell's dismissal.
- Trump said he did not advise Ukraine to strike targets deep inside Russia.
- The Pentagon has withdrawn senior officials from the Aspen Security Forum, citing ideological differences. The US and 18 allies began military exercises in Australia.
- Poll of the Day: Favourable views of China have increased, but most countries prioritise strong ties with the US.
Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF
