BONDS: A full reversal off the lows for Bund and Tnotes
Feb-07 09:04
- A full reversal in Bund and now Tnotes, both contracts are edging back to their respective highs, no surprises in seeing mostly a two way wide range price action, with focus squarely on the US NFP today.
- Volumes are slightly better in the US, following some decent block trades and also cumulative volumes, but they are quite poor in Europe.
- Bund and TYH5 still trade within initial tech levels.
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BONDS: Fresh Multi-Month Highs For Crude Not Having Much Impact
Jan-08 09:00
Little feedthrough for bonds as both Brent and WTI crude oil futures hit the highest level seen since mid-October.
- Out commodities team have highlighted yesterday’ s API inventory data as a key driver of the move.
- Elsewhere, signs that sanctions are tightening supplies, with a reduction in consumption of Iranian and Russian crude, as well as reports of Ukraine hitting a Russian oil depot that supplies a military airfield, provide further support for crude.
AUSTRIA: Foreign Min Schallenberg To Take Over As Interim Chancellor
Jan-08 08:58
Der Standard reports that Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg will, for the second time in his career, be sworn in as interim chancellor. The transition will come on Friday 10 January and comes after incumbent Chancellor Karl Nehammer announced that following the collapse of coalition talks he would step down as head of the conservative Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) and chancellor.
- The Schallenberg administration will be a caretaker gov't in the same nature as the Nehammer administration that has been in place since the September 2024 federal election. It will engage in the day-to-day running of gov't, but will not be able to propose new legislation or make major policy decisions.
- The ÖVP also confirms that acting federal chair Christian Stocker will give a statement to the press at 1400CET (0800ET, 1300GMT). This comes a day after Herbert Kickl, leader of the right-wing populist Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) confirmed that he had accepted the mandate from President Alexander van der Bellen to form a gov't and would be inviting Stocker to begin exploratory talks.
- Stocker has, at least tacitly, signalled that the ÖVP under his leadership would be willing to at least start negotiations. There remain risks for the ÖVP in taking on the junior coalition role, with little opportunity in such a position to boost their credentials ahead of the next federal election.
Chart 1. Austrian National Council, Seats
Source: parlament.gv.at, MNI. N.b. Numbers in brackets indicate change of seats at 2024 election.
SONIA: Call fly buyer
Jan-08 08:55
SFIM5 96.15/96.45/96.75c fly, bought for 2 in 2k.
