LNG: 2025 LNG Balances Finish Within 1% of Pre-Summer Forecast

Oct-09 12:31

Global delivered LNG supply averaged 1.561 bcf/d during summer 2025, up 7% on summer 2024 amid new export capacity and strong liquefaction utilisation, Platts said. 

  • Supply finished just 1% below forecasts, as deferred Qatari maintenance and new US capacity offset weaker output elsewhere.
  • Malaysia, Nigeria, and Norway experienced reduced output due to upstream and maintenance issues, while Russia’s production dropped amid partial maintenance at Yamal LNG.
  • On the demand side, weaker Asia-Pacific consumption supported deliveries to Europe despite overall supply constraints.
  • Chinese imports fell 13% year-on-year to 243 mmcf/d, hampered by higher domestic output, stronger Russian pipeline flows, and slower demand growth.
  • The Platts JKM averaged $12.54/MMBtu—4% below forecasts—with spot prices dipping below $10/MMBtu in autumn.
  • Warmer weather and subdued sentiment kept prices low, while expanding US output and weaker economic expectations eased supply concerns.
  • Minimal price reaction to geopolitical events suggests the LNG market is entering a more balanced phase.

 

Screenshot 2025-10-09 132953
Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights
Screenshot 2025-10-09 132933
Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights

Historical bullets

STIR: Repo Reference Rates

Sep-09 12:18
  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 4.40% (-0.02), volume: $2.872T
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.39% (-0.01), volume: $1.151T
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TCR): 4.39% (-0.01), volume: $1.120T
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Miran On Track For Swift Fed Confirmation

Sep-09 12:06

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  • President Donald Trump is expected to take questions from reporters when he signs a proclamation at 16:30 ET 21:30 BST.
  • At 10:00 ET 15:00 BST, the BLS will release payroll revisions for the year ending March 2025. Trump advisors are preparing a report criticising the agency's jobs data.
  • The Supreme Court ruled that Trump can fire FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter and overturned a lower court restriction on immigration raids in Los Angeles.
  • Trump is struggling to contain the fallout from the Epstein case but appears to have resolved a rift with conservative commentators, reducing his political exposure to the issue.
  • CEA Chair Stephen Miran appears set for a smooth confirmation to the Fed board after Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) said he will vote in favour of Miran’s confirmation.
  • The Senate Banking Committee will vote on Miran’s confirmation tomorrow at 10:00 ET 15:00 BST, teeing up a full Senate vote on September 15, a day before the FOMC meeting.
  • Medicaid cuts could slow growth in health jobs.
  • South Korea’s foreign minister is in Washington to discuss an immigration raid that prompted a furious reaction in Seoul.
  • The risk of a government shutdown receded slightly after a 'four corners' meeting.
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth made an unannounced visit to Puerto Rico as the US prepares to expand military operations against Latin American cartels.
  • Poll of the Day: Democrats view capitalism less favourably. 

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF

GILT PAOF RESULTS: GBP60.0mln of the 4.75% Oct-43 Gilt sold.

Sep-09 12:01
  • GBP437.5mln have been on offer.
  • This means GBP34.875bln of the gilt remain in issue.