FOREX: 0.9200 Remains EURCHF’s Line in the Sand, Swiss CPI Next Week

• Treasuries scale back support after ISM services data - prices paid and new orders lower than expected while the Services index and employ component rise slightly.
• Currently, TYH6 trades 113-01.5 (+5) vs. 113-07 high, initial technical resistance at 113-11/22+ High Dec 1 / High Nov 25. Support below at 112-22 Low Dec 02
• Curves mildly steeper: 2s10s +.312 at 57.753, 5s30s +1.424 at 110.291.

• MNI: US ISM NOV SERVICES COMPOSITE INDEX 52.6
• US ISM NOV SERVICES PRICES 65.4

The S&P Global US services PMI was revised lower in the final November release, dipping to its lowest since June rather than confirming what had been its highest since July. Along with this downward revision, input cost inflation was also trimmed from the highest since Jan 2023 in the flash to today’s six-month high, but as you can see in the chart below that's a close call having still seen a solid acceleration in November. 

• US Services PMI: 54.1 (flash & cons 55.0) in Nov final after 54.8 in Oct
• US Composite PMI: 54.2 (flash 54.8) in Nov final after 54.6 in Oct

S&P Global US PMI press release opening highlights (release in full, here): 

• “The US private sector services economy continued to expand at a solid pace in November, despite growth softening to a five-month low, according to the latest PMI® survey data from S&P Global.”
• “Activity was supported by the firmest rise in new work of 2025 so far, whilst confidence in the outlook strengthened following the end of the government shutdown and expectations of improved economic growth in the year ahead.”
• “Firms also took on additional staff to a stronger degree amid some evidence of capacity pressures, but with reports of higher labor costs and tariffs continuing to push up prices in general, input cost inflation accelerated to a six-month high.”