EURUSD TECHS: Corrective Cycle

Apr-22 17:00
  • RES 4: 1.1076 High Apr 1
  • RES 3: 1.1018 50-day EMA
  • RES 2: 1.0989 High Apr 5
  • RES 1: 1.0936 High Apr 21
  • PRICE: 1.0785 @ 16:44 BST Apr 22
  • SUP 1: 1.0771/0758 Low Apr 22 / Low Apr 14 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.0727 Low Apr 24, 2020 and bear trigger
  • SUP 3: 1.0659 0.764 proj of the Feb 10 - Mar 7 - 31 price swing
  • SUP 4: 1.0636 Low March 23 2020

EURUSD traded higher Thursday, however, the pair failed to hold on to its gains. A resumption of strength and a break of 1.0936 would signal scope for a continuation higher, potentially towards the 50-day EMA, at 1.1018. Short-term gains are still considered corrective and the 50-day EMA represents the next key resistance point. The bear trigger is unchanged at 1.0758, the Apr 14 low.

Historical bullets

WHITE HOUSE: Press Gaggle With NSA Sullivan Beginning Shortly

Mar-23 16:59

White House Principal Deputy Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan are due to deliver a press gaggle shortly aboard Air Force One.

  • A livestream can be followed here.
  • Sullivan will preview President Biden's diplomatic trip to Europe.
  • Earlier today, NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg previewed tomorrow's NATO summit and announced an increase in NATO force posture on the Ukrainian border.
  • Stoltenberg also said that NATO members will discuss the response to China and Belarus' perceived complicity in the war.

US TSYS/SUPPLY: WI 20Y Bond, Squeeze

Mar-23 16:52

WI receding ahead the $16B 20Y auction re-open (912810TF5) 1300ET cut-off.

  • 20Y WI is currently running around 2.675% vs. 2.710% earlier, compares to last month's 2.396% high yield (in-line w/2.396% WI).

US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK, Weekly Midcurve Call Fly

Mar-23 16:40
  • +10,000 wk1 TY 122.75/123.25/123.75 call flys, 5 vs. 122-31/.05% at 1229:32ET