LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Dec-14 06:23
Date Time Period Event
14-Dec 0700 Nov Inflation Report
14-Dec 0930 Oct Halifax House Price Index
15-Dec 1200 ---- Bank Of England Interest Rate Decision
16-Dec ---- ---- BOE Announce Q1 Active Gilt Sales Schedule
16-Dec 0001 Dec Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
16-Dec 0700 Nov Retail Sales
16-Dec 0930 Dec S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash)
19-Dec 1100 Dec CBI Industrial Trends
21-Dec 0700 Nov Public Sector Finances
21-Dec 1100 Dec CBI Distributive Trades
22-Dec ---- ---- House of Commons Recess Starts
22-Dec 0700 Q3 GDP Second Estimate
04-Jan 0001 Dec BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
04-Jan 0930 Nov BOE M4 / Lending
05-Jan 0930 Dec BOE Dec DMP Survey

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-14 06:23
Date Time Period Event
14-Nov ---- ---- House of Commons Returns
14-Nov 0001 Nov Rightmove House Prices
15-Nov 0700 Sep Labour Market Survey
16-Nov 0700 Oct Inflation Report
16-Nov 0930 Oct ONS House Price Index
16-Nov 1415 ---- BOE Treasury Select Committee hearing on Nov MP Report
17-Nov ---- ---- Autumn Statement with OBR forecasts /Updated DMO Remit
17-Nov 1230 ---- BOE Pill Speech at the Bristol Festival of Economics
17-Nov 1430 ---- BOE Tenreyro Speech at Asociacion Argentina Economia
18-Nov 0001 Nov Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
18-Nov 0700 Oct Retail Sales
18-Nov 1715 ---- BOE Haskel Panels Ditchley Economics Conference
19-Nov 1345 ---- BOE Dhingra Panels Ditchley Economics Conference
21-Nov 0905 ---- BOE Cunliffe Speech at Warwick Conference
21-Nov 1530 ---- DMO Announces Agenda for Consultation Meetings

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-14 06:18
Date Time Country Event
14-Nov 1000 EU ECB Panetta Speech at CEPR-EABCN Conference
14-Nov 1000 EU Industrial Production
14-Nov 1615 EU ECB de Guindos Speech at Euro Finance Week
15-Nov 0745 FR HICP (f)
15-Nov 0800 ES HICP (f)
15-Nov 1000 DE ZEW Current Conditions / Expectations Index
15-Nov 1000 EU Trade Balance / Employment / Flash GDP
15-Nov 1730 EU ECB Elderson Speech at Euro Finance Week
16-Nov 0900 IT HICP (f)
16-Nov 1500 EU ECB Lagarde Speech at European School Frankfurt
16-Nov 1500 EU ECB Panetta at ABI's Executive Committee Meeting
17-Nov 1000 EU Construction Production
17-Nov 1000 EU HICP (f)
18-Nov ---- EU COP 27 Ends
18-Nov 0830 EU ECB Lagarde Speech at European Banking Congress

US TSYS: Under Pressure On Chinese Stimulus & As Waller Echoes Powell

Nov-14 06:14

Cash Tsys run 5-8bp cheaper across the curve after their elongated weekend, bear flattening. Meanwhile, TYZ2 deals around the midpoint of its 0-09+ range, printing -0-09+ at 112-00+ on healthy volume of just under 125K into London hours. Note that all of the major benchmarks operate comfortably within their recent respective ranges.

  • News of a notable round of support for the Chinese property space, coupled with some hawkish Fedspeak from Waller (who echoed tones from Chair Powell’s post-meeting press conference, while conceding that the Fed could step the pace of hikes down to 50bp in December) applied some pressure in early Asia-Pac trade.
  • Note that an FT interview with San Francisco Fed President Daly got far less attention, with the piece seeing Daly stress focus on the level of terminal interest rates, as opposed to the pace it will take to reach the peak of the current cycle, while she also highlighted the increased level of difficulty that will become evident during the upcoming stage of tightening.
  • A reversal of the early bid in Chinese equities may have helped limit Tsy losses in Asia.
  • Communique surrounding the impending Biden-Xi meeting will now be eyed ahead of NY hours. Further out, Monday will see Fedspeak from Brainard and Williams, with the latter’s comments set to cross in the NY-Asia crossover.