US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U5) Monitoring Support

Jul-25 10:12
  • RES 4: 112-15   61.8% retracement of the Apr 7 - 11 sell-off
  • RES 3: 112-12+ High Jul 1 and a bull trigger
  • RES 2: 111-28   High Jul 3 
  • RES 1: 111-14+ High Jul 22 
  • PRICE:‌‌ 110-24+ @ 11:00 BST Jul 25
  • SUP 1: 110-19+/08+ Low Jul 24 / Low Jul 14 & 16        
  • SUP 2: 110-03   76.4% retracement of the May 22 - Jul 1 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 109-28   Low Jun 6 and 11
  • SUP 4: 109.25   Low May 27

Treasury futures are trading closer to their most recent lows having pulled back from Tuesday’s high. Recent gains resulted in a break of the 20-day EMA, strengthening the recovery. Note too that resistance at 111-13+, Jul 10 high, has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal and open 111-28, the Jul 3 high. Key support to watch is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme.  

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: EU Bank outright Put buyer

Jun-25 10:11

SX7E (19th Dec) 125p, bought for 0.80 in 10k.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: 3 Way Package

Jun-25 10:10

ERZ5 98.125/98.25/98.375c fly x2 with ERZ5 98.375/98.50/98.625c fly vs 0RV5 98.0625p x1, bought the Flies strip for -0.5 in 8k.

SONIA OPTIONS: Large Sonia Call Condor

Jun-25 10:08

SFIZ5 96.10/96.25/96.40/96.55c condor, bought for 6 up to 6.25 in 30k.