US DATA: Two JOLTS Reports Scheduled For Next Month

Feb-13 17:03

* The BLS has added two JOLTS reports for next month, with the January report on Mar 13 before the...

Historical bullets

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (H6) Gains Appear Corrective

Jan-14 16:51
  • RES 4: 113-00+ 61.8% retracement of the Nov 25 - Dec 10 bear leg
  • RES 3: 112-31   High Dec 18 and key short-term resistance 
  • RES 2: 112-25+ High Dec 30 / 31 
  • RES 1: 112-22   High Jan 7
  • PRICE:‌‌ 112-15 @ 16:34 GMT Jan 14
  • SUP 1: 111-29   Low Dec 10 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 111-19   1.236 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 5 - 25 price swing
  • SUP 3: 111-11   1.382 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 5 - 25 price swing 
  • SUP 4: 111-00   Round number support 

A bear threat in Treasuries remains present and for now, short-term gains are considered corrective. Attention is on support at 111-29, the Dec 10 low and bear trigger. A break of it would confirm a continuation of the bear cycle. Note too that a head and shoulders reversal pattern on the daily chart also highlights a bearish threat. Scope is seen for a move towards 111-19 initially, a Fibonacci projection. Key short-term resistance is 112-31, the Dec 18 high.

US TSYS: Extending Highs, Tracking Bunds

Jan-14 16:47
  • Treasury futures are extending highs at the moment - not headline driven but more likely mirroring Bund bid into the London close.
  • Session high: TYH6 trades 112-18 (+9.5) vs 112-05.5 low, key short-term resistance is unchanged at 112-31, the Dec 18 high.
  • On the flipside, a bear threat in Treasuries remains present and for now, short-term gains are considered corrective. Attention is on support at 111-29, the Dec 10 low and bear trigger. A break of it would confirm a continuation of the bear cycle. Note too that a head and shoulders reversal pattern on the daily chart also highlights a bearish threat. Scope is seen for a move towards 111-19 initially, a Fibonacci projection.
  • Bbg US Dollar index near lows to 1209.74 (-1.94). 

EURIBOR OPTIONS: 1yr Mid-curve Put Fly Buyer

Jan-14 16:44

0RG6 97.9375/97.875/97.8125 put fly, bought for 2 in 20k