EURJPY TECHS: Trend Needle Points South

Dec-23 06:45
  • RES 4: 146.73 High Dec 15 and a key resistance
  • RES 3: 145.83 High Dec 20
  • RES 2: 143.50 Low Dec 14 and a recent breakout level
  • RES 1: 142.00 Round number resistance
  • PRICE: 140.74 @ 06:44 GMT Dec 23
  • SUP 1: 138.81 Low Dec 20
  • SUP 2: 138.06 Low Sep 28
  • SUP 3: 137.75 4.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 4: 137.40 Low Sep 26 and a key support

EURJPY traded sharply lower Tuesday as the JPY rallied and the cross remains bearish. A key support at 140.77, the Dec 2 low and a bear trigger, has been cleared. This marks a resumption of the bear cycle that started on Oct 21 and opens 138.06, the Sep 28 low and 137.40, the Sep 26 low and a key support. Initial firm resistance is seen at 143.50, the Dec 14 low and a recent breakout level. Short-term gains would likely be a correction.

Historical bullets

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: W/C 21 November, 2022

Nov-23 06:40

The EU and Italy both still look to issue bills this week while Germany, the Netherlands, France and Austria have come to the market already. We look for issuance of E25.1bln at first round operations, up from E14.1bln last week.

  • Today, the EU will look to sell up to E1.0bln of the 3-month Feb 3, 2023 EU-bill and up to E1.5bln of the 6-month May 5, 2023 EU-bill.
  • On Friday, Italy will conclude bill issuance for the week with E5.0bln of new 6-month May 31, 2023 BOTs on offer.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-23 06:18
Date Time Period Event
23-Nov 0930 Nov S&P Global Manufacturing / Services PMI (flash)
23-Nov 1900 ---- BOE Pill Speech at Beesley Lecture Series
24-Nov 0945 ---- BOE Ramsden Speech at BOE Watchers’ Conference
24-Nov 1030 ---- BOE Pill Panelist at BOE Watchers’ Conference
24-Nov 1345 ---- BOE Mann Panelist at BOE Watchers’ Conference
28-Nov 1530 ---- DMO Q1 Consultation Meetings
29-Nov 0930 Nov BOE Lending to Individuals / M4
30-Nov 0001 Nov BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
30-Nov 0730 ---- DMO Publishes Q3 Issuance Calendar
01-Dec 0930 Nov S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI (final)
05-Dec 0930 Nov S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (final)
05-Dec 1530 ---- DMO consultation meetings to discuss Q1 issuance
06-Dec 0001 Nov BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
06-Dec 0930 Nov S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction PMI

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-23 06:18
Date Time Country Event
23-Nov 0815 FR S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
23-Nov 0830 DE S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
23-Nov 0830 EU ECB de Guindos at Encuentro del Sector Financiero
23-Nov 0900 EU S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
24-Nov 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
24-Nov 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
24-Nov 1115 EU ECB de Guindos Speech at Analysis Forum in Milan
24-Nov 1300 EU ECB Schnabel Speech at BOE Watchers' Conference
24-Nov 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
25-Nov 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate / GDP (f)
25-Nov 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
25-Nov 0800 ES PPI
25-Nov 0900 IT ISTAT Business/Consumer Confidence
28-Nov 0900 EU M3
28-Nov 1400 EU ECB Lagarde Intro at ECON Hearing