LNG: Train Shut at Australia's Ichthys LNG Plant Since Aug. 20

Aug-22 08:14

One of the two trains at the Ichthys LNG plant in Darwin, Australia, has been shut since Aug. 20, according to Inpex Corp in an email to Reuters on Thursday.

  • "Train 2 at Ichthys LNG was temporarily halted on the evening of August 20. The impact is currently being evaluated," Inpex said.
  • The plant also had a train outage in July.

Historical bullets

EGBS: /SWAPS: ING Continue To Favour 20s30s Swap Steepeners On Pension Reform

Jul-23 08:09

ING continue to favour a 20s30s swap steepener, as demand for fixed receivers amongst Dutch pension funds remains elevated ahead of the transition to a defined contributions model.

  • Since ING’s last update in May, “more pension funds have delayed their intended transition date to a defined contributions model”.
  •  “The new defined contribution model reduces the need for fixed receiver swaps for 30 years and beyond”.
  • “We therefore believe that funds will already move to 20y tenors to steer interest rate risks until the transition”. 
  • “Our fair value model for the 20s30s on the swap curve suggests a potential steepening of around 20bp in the coming months”
  • “A key risk to our steepener view would be a revival of eurozone or US inflation, but the momentum seems to be in the right direction at the moment”.

OPTIONS: Sizeable Strikes, Quiet Calendar Keeping Spot G10 Contained

Jul-23 08:04
  • EUR/USD's fade through early European hours puts spot within close proximity of the most sizeable strike rolling off in the pair today: E1.0bln at 1.0875-85, while USD/JPY is also narrowing in on $787mln at Y155.85. 
  • Lastly, AUD/NZD trade is of note - the contained price action so far Tuesday keeps the cross within range of N$1.1075, at which A$660mln is set to expire today. 
  • The pipeline is busier for the rest of the week, with the highlights including: 

    EUR/USD: Jul24 $1.0990(E3.2bln), $1.1000(E1.0bln)

    USD/JPY: Jul24 Y156.00-05($2.3bln); Jul25 Y158.00($1.5bln)

    AUD/USD: Jul24 $0.6600(A$1.6bln)

    USD/CNY: Jul24 Cny7.3000($1.2bln)

GILTS: Underperform Bunds Again, Tomorrow’s PMIs In Focus

Jul-23 07:50

Gilt futures are -16 at 97.78 after finding support around 97.63 (July 11 low). Slippage below this level would refocus attention on 96.57, the July 1 low and a key short-term support.

  • Bulls would need to breach key short-term resistance at 99.23 (June 21 high) to turn the technical tide back in their favour.
  • A reminder that yesterday’s weakness was in part due to new Chancellor Reeves' indications of above-inflation pay rises for UK public sector workers.
  • The DMO will kick off issuance for the week this morning with GBP1.0bln nominal of the 15-year 0.125% Mar-39 linker on offer.
  • SONIA futures are flat to -2.5 ticks through the blues, while BoE-dated OIS have continued to pare back interest rate cut expectations a little.
  • OIS show 9bps of easing through the upcoming August 1 BoE meeting, and ~43bps of easing through the remainder of this year.
  • The BoE has entered its pre-meeting quiet period, leaving focus on tomorrow’s July flash PMI data.