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The downtrend in Schatz futures remains intact, however, for now a corrective cycle remains in play. Resistance at 105.850, the Feb 26 high, has been cleared and this signals scope for a climb towards 106.145, the Feb 15 high. For bears, recent fresh cycle lows reinforce bearish conditions and maintain the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. The bear trigger has been defined at 105.490, the Feb 29 low.
Recent flow in SFRZ4/H5 sees paper pay -31.0 on 11.5K.
A bullish phase in GBPUSD last week has strengthened the current recovery. Friday’s climb resulted in a break of the bull trigger at 1.2827, the Dec 28 high. This represents an important technical break and confirms a resumption of the bull trend that started on Oct 4 last year. The move higher signals scope for 1.2996 next, the Jul 27 2023 high. Initial firm support is seen at 1.2694, the 20-day EMA.