EU CONSUMER CYCLICALS: Sodexo: 1Q Results

Jan-09 14:22

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(SWFP; Baa1/BBB+/BBB+) {SW FP Equity} Underperformance continues. No cost to rotate into performing...

Historical bullets

BOC: Analysts Unanimous On Dec Hold, Diverge On Whether Next Move Is A Hike

Dec-10 14:20

Analysts are unanimous on a December rate hold by the BOC. See table below for current views.

  • Almost all analysts have removed any further rate cuts from their outlook since the October meeting and, latterly, the November labour market report.
  • Some have started to see rate hikes by early 2027 enter their base case (Scotiabank already had hikes as part of their outlook).
  • No Canadian analysts see further cuts. Some non-Canadian institutions see the BOC's easing cycle as not-quite-over: BofA expects two 25bp cuts early next year, with ING eyeing a final 25bp cut. 
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EGB OPTIONS: Schatz outright Call buyer

Dec-10 14:16

DUH7 107c, bought for 5.75 in 5k.

BOBL TECHS: (H6) Trend Condition Is Oversold

Dec-10 14:07
  • RES 4: 117.140 High Nov 26 and key resistance       
  • RES 3: 117.070 High Nov 27  
  • RES 2: 116.960 High Dec 1   
  • RES 1: 116.320/770 High Dec 8 / 3   
  • PRICE: 115.900 @ 13:51 GMT Dec 10 
  • SUP 1: 115.720 Intraday low  
  • SUP 2: 115.660.4.000 proj of the Nov 6 - 14 - 26 price swing  
  • SUP 3: 115.600 Round number support
  • SUP 4: 115.573 4.236 proj of the Nov 6 - 14 - 26 price swing

The trend theme in Bobl futures remains bearish - last week’s sell-off plus this week’s extension, reinforces a bear theme. Price last week breached support at 116.790, the Nov 14 and 20 low. This confirmed a resumption of the downtrend that started mid-October. Sights are on 115.660 next, a Fibonacci projection. Note that the trend is oversold, a recovery would allow this set-up to unwind. First important resistance is at 116.770, the Dec 3 high.