AUDUSD has resumed its downtrend today. Last week’s move lower resulted in a break of support at 0.6682, the Jul 14 low and bear trigger. The break strengthens bearish conditions and maintains the broader bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. This has opened 0.6451 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance has been defined at 0.6747, the Sep 20 high.
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Aussie 10yr futures slipped further Thursday and have dipped below key support at 96.355, Jul 22 low. This weakens the bull cycle posted since mid-June, opening the gap with the 200-dma on the continuation contract, at 97.275. The bull trigger is 97.040, the Aug 3 high. On the downside, recent weakness suggests scope for a deeper retracement towards the mid-Jun low of 95.663.
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USDCAD rallied into the Friday close having found support at the Thursday low, however, the pair remains below Tuesday’s 1.3063 short-term trend high. Near-term trend conditions still appear bullish following the recent strong recovery from 1.2728, the Aug 17 low. A resumption of gains and a break of 1.3063 would open 1.3107 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that MA studies are in a bull mode condition, highlighting an uptrend. Initial firm support is at 1.2887, the 50-day EMA.