LATAM FX: Price Signal Summary - USDCLP gains Considered Corrective

Nov-18 13:58
  • Trend conditions in USDMXN remain bearish and the pair continues to trade closer to its recent lows. The pair has recently breached 19.7533, the Sep 12 low and 19.4136, the May 30 low and a key support, strengthening the case for bears. Moving average studies are in a bear mode position too, highlighting current sentiment. The focus is on 19.1560, the Mar 3 2020 low ahead of 19.0000. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 20.1759, the Oct 19 high. Initial resistance is at 19.5950 the 20-day EMA.
  • USDBRL spiked higher Thursday and in the process breached resistance at 5.4286, the Sep 29 high and pierced 5.5142, the Jul 21 high and a medium-term bull trigger. A clear break of the latter would cancel a recent bearish theme and instead suggest scope for a stronger move higher near-term. This would open 5.5823, the Jan 18 high. Initial firm support is seen at 5.2445, the Nov 10 low.
  • The USDCLP outlook remains bearish despite the latest bounce - gains are considered corrective. The 50-day EMA has recently been cleared. The break signals potential for a deeper pullback and this has exposed 871.94, the Sep 9 low, ahead of 849.75, the Sep 5 low. Key resistance is at 996.97, the Sep 26 high. Clearance of this level would be bullish and open 1000.00 and 1061.00 further out, the Jul 14 high. Initial firm resistance is at 958.44, the Nov 3 high.

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call fly buyer

Oct-19 13:39

ERZ2 97.87/98.00/98.12c fly, bought for 1.5 in 12k

GILT PAOF RESULTS: GBP812.500mln of the 1.00% Jan-32 gilt sold

Oct-19 13:33
  • A total of GBP812.5mln had been available.
  • This leaves GBP28.96bln of the gilt in issue.

PIPELINE: Export Finance Australia 5Y SOFR Launched

Oct-19 13:29
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 10/19 $1.5B #Export Finance Australia 5Y SOFR+66, upsized from $1B
  • 10/19 $1B #Kommuninvest WNG 3Y SOFR+39
  • 10/19 $Benchmark Diageo Capital 3Y +80a, 5Y +125a, +10Y +175a
  • 10/19 $Benchmark Lockheed Martin (LMT) 5Pt expected, details TBA. Adds to $2.3B issued back on April 21: $800M 10Y +100, $850M 31Y +125, $650M 40Y +140.