POWER: Mid-Day Power Summary: CWE October Tracks Weekly Gains

Sep-27 11:05

CWE October power futures are tracking a weekly net increase, amid gains in the wider energy complex, while cooler weather is expected to boost some heating demand in the region. Nordic Oct power is rising today amid a downward revision in hydrobalances in Sweden and Norway. 

  • Nordic Base Power OCT 24 up 3.5% at 29.5 EUR/MWh
  • France Base Power OCT 24 up 0.1% at 61.91 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power OCT 24 down 1% at 79.25 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 down 1.3% at 65.67 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas OCT 24 down 1.3% at 37.4 EUR/MWh
  • TTF is tracking a weekly net increase with curtailed pipeline flows, cooler weather and Middle East Risks. Speculation surrounding scenarios for future transit gas via Ukraine has added downside pressure.
  • EU ETS Dec24 is pulling back today but tracking a weekly net increase supported by gains in natural gas markets, while the 30 September submission deadline may encourage some last-minute buying.
  • The latest weekly German EUA CAP3 auction increased on the week and cleared at €65.45/ton CO2e, compared with the previous auction at €63.18/ton CO2e.
  • ACER has approved a proposal by NEMOs to amend the single day-ahead coupling (SDAC) – adding 15-minute Market Time products into the SDAC.
  • The planned maintenance at the 1.5GW Chooz 2 nuclear reactor has been shortened by two days to 28 September.
  • UK power network operators have cut 10GW of stalled “zombie” energy projects in a bid to increase the connection process.
  • TVO’s 890MW Olkiluoto 2 nuclear power plant will resume reduced power production of 725MW from 6 October, following an incident on 9 September.
  • Sweden will start construction on a new nuclear reactor before the next legislative election in 2026, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson stated.
  • Romania’s government has published a roadmap for 7GW of offshore wind capacity off the country’s coast.

Historical bullets

MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE +0.5% SA THRU AUG 23 WK

Aug-28 11:00



  • MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE +0.5% SA THRU AUG 23 WK

**MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE +0.5% SA THRU AUG 23 WK

Aug-28 11:00
**MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE +0.5% SA THRU AUG 23 WK

US TSYS: Mostly A Touch Firmer, 5Y Supply Headlines A Quieter Docket

Aug-28 10:57
  • Treasuries broadly consolidate yesterday’s rally in a move aided by soft labor conditions in the Conf. Board consumer survey, declines in WTI futures and a decent 2Y auction. 
  • Cash yields sit between 0.3bp higher (3s) and 0.9bp lower (20s), whilst 2s10s sees a level shift to just -5bps after the new 2Y benchmark from yesterday’s auction. 
  • TYU4 has recently pushed above yesterday’s levels with a high of 113-21 (+ 04+) but remains below resistance at 114-03 (Aug 6 high). The trend needle continues to point north. 
  • TYZ4 meanwhile has clawed ahead as the most actively traded contract, testing yesterday’s high of 114-07+. 
  • Data: MBA mortgage data (0700ET) - a quiet docket before tomorrow's 2nd national accounts release for Q2. 
  • Note/bond issuance: US Tsy $28B 2Y FRN re-open - 91282CLA7 (1130ET), US Tsy $70B 5Y note sale - 91282CLK5 (1300ET)
  • Fedspeak: Bostic on economic outlook (1800ET)
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $60B 17-week bills (1130ET)