BELGIUM AUCTION RESULTS: ORI Operation

Mar-01 11:10
1.00% Jun-31 OLO* 1.45% Jun-37 OLO*
ISIN BE0000335449 BE0000344532
Amount E325mln E176mln
Previous E1.225bln E225mln
Avg yield 2.804% 3.140%
Previous 3.586% 2.896%
Bid-to-cover 1.92x 2.59x
Previous 1.24x 1.56x
Avg Price 88.242 81.851
Low Price 88.23 81.85
Pre-auction mid 88.264 81.824
Prev avg price 95.274 88.331
Prev low price 95.17 88.32
Prev mid-price 95.028 88.292
Previous date 23-Oct-23 15-Dec-23
Previous ISIN BE0000357666 BE0000336454
Previous bond 3.00% Jun-33 OLO 1.90% Jun-38 OLO

Historical bullets

US TSY FUTURES: OI Points To Mix Of Modest Positioning Swings On Tuesday

Jan-31 11:04

The combination of yesterday's twist flattening of the Tsy futures curve (come settlement time) and preliminary OI data points to the following net positioning swings across the curve on Tuesday.

  • Net long cover: TU & FV futures
  • Net long setting: TY & UXY futures
  • Net short cover: US & WN futures
  • DV01 equivalent OI swings in each contract were contained, with a bias towards a mix of short and long cover in net curve terms.
30-Jan-24 29-Jan-24 Daily OI Change OI DV01 Equivalent Change ($)
TU 3,921,624 3,943,178 -21,554 -805,598
FV 5,932,109 5,943,189 -11,080 -474,145
TY 4,721,861 4,720,623 +1,238 +79,502
UXY 2,105,794 2,097,400 +8,394 +770,604
US 1,422,864 1,429,081 -6,217 -847,500
WN 1,646,623 1,652,422 -5,799 -1,243,128
Total -35,018 -2,520,264

EGB SYNDICATION: 15-year BTP: Launched

Jan-31 11:01
  • Size: E10bln (MNI expected E5-10bln)
  • Spread set at 3.25% Mar-38 BTP + 11 bps (guidance was + 13 bps area)
  • Books closed in excess of E77bln (inc E2.275bln JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 01 October 2039
  • Settlement: 7 February 2024 (T+5)
  • Coupon: Fixed, S/A ACT/ACT (full first coupon on 1 April 2024 accruing from 1 October 2023)
  • ISIN: IT0005582421
  • Bookrunners: Barclays/ BNPP (B&D/DM) / Citi / IMI-Intesa Sanpaolo / Morgan Stanley
  • Timing: Books are closed. Allocations and pricing to follow
From market source

EU-UK: NI Exec Set To Return As Brexit Border Checks Kick In (2/2)

Jan-31 10:58

The details of the agreement between the DUP and the UK gov't regarding GB-NI border checks (see 1058GMT bullet) will be assessed by the EU as to whether there is any threat posed to the integrity of the Single Market or the Good Friday Agreement. The UK gov't has claimed that the Windsor framework is not impacted by the deal, but a Commission spox said that the texts would be examined "when the time comes."

  • The agreement is set to come at the same time as Brexit-related checks on 'medium risk' goods including food, plant, and animal imports into the UK come in to force. The checks had been pushed back on several occasions for fear of disrupting supply chains as well as giving businesses ample time to get ready.
  • The requirement of "export health certificates" on imports of "medium risk" animal products including meat, fish, and chees, comes in from 31 Jan, with physical checks at the border to be implemented from end-April.
  • Some retailers and industry bodies have warned about EU producers halting exports to the UK due to red-tape, as well as a potential inflationary impact for consumers due to the associated bureaucratic costs being passed on. As the BBC reports "The government admitted the extra red tape and checks would increase food prices, but not as much as seen in recent times. It has forecast the controls could push up inflation by 0.2 percentage points over three years."