OIL PRODUCTS: Oil Products Summary At European Close: Cracks Diverge

Feb-20 16:21

Diesel cracks have gained further ground today, supported by colder weather likely boosting gasoil heating demand, coupled with a US stock draw last week. Gasoline cracks are down on the day after stocks rose last week.

  • US ULSD crack up 1$/bbl at 32.4$/bbl
  • US gasoline crack down 0.7$/bbl at 14.71$/bbl
  • US 321 crack down 0.1$/bbl at 20.61$/bbl
  • API stock data yesterday showed gasoline stocks rose 2.8mbbl and distillates fell 2.7mbbl.
  • Singapore total fuel stockpiles fell by 1.69m bbls (-3.6%) w/w to 45.3m bbls in the week to Feb. 19, according to Enterprise Singapore data.
  • Diesel imports to the key oil storage hub of Singapore are set to rise to a two year high at 6.7mbbl in February amid higher volumes from South Korea and Taiwan, according to Reuters citing Kpler and LSEG data.
  • Kuwait oil product output and exports reached record highs in 2024, driven by the full ramp-up of the 615k b/d al-Zour refinery, Argus reports, citing JODI data.
  • China's gasoline market is expected to have a narrow supply surplus of 0.3m mt in February, according to OilChem.
  • Asia’s naphtha cracks inched higher today, amid stable demand for March/April deliveries into East Asia, Reuters said.
  • Naphtha cracks rose globally on the week as blending demand begins to pick up and US and EU refinery maintenance limits supply, Kpler said.
  • Overall Asian cracker maintenance is set to be light this year, Kpler said, impacting naphtha demand.
  • Increased tax burden on imported feedstock fuel oil has forced some Shandong-based independent refineries in China to cut their primary facilities in February, Platts reports citing sources.
  • Oil refining margins are currently boosted by gas-to-oil switching all around the world, according to Repsol cited by Bloomberg.

Historical bullets

EGBS: Natural Gas Rally Helping To Cap Upside In EGBs

Jan-21 16:19

The continued extension higher in natural gas prices will also be helping to cap rallies in EGBs, with TTF futures reaching E50/Mwh for the first time since Jan 3.

  • Our commodities team notes that the rally is supported by high gas storage withdrawals and concern to low winter stocks, as the IEA forecast a tight market in 2025 despite rising LNG supply.
  • Front month TTF has traded through the initial resistance levels with the short term bull trigger at the Jan. 2 high of €51/MWh.
  • 1- and 2-year Euro inflation swaps have moved away from intraday lows through the afternoon, but remain 3-4bps lower today. The 5y5y inflation swap is 1.7bps lower today at 2.0863%, down from last Tuesday’s multi-week high of 2.1587%.

FED: US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.075 BLN FROM $72.000 BLN TOTAL

Jan-21 16:15
  • US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.075 BLN FROM $72.000 BLN TOTAL

FED: US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.415 BLN FROM $84.000 BLN TOTAL

Jan-21 16:15
  • US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.415 BLN FROM $84.000 BLN TOTAL