OIL TECHS: New Doubts Cast Over Northern Iraqi Oil Flow Return

Feb-27 16:27

The Iraqi government has made a fresh attempt to deem all Kurdish production-sharing oil contracts illegal by filing new papers to a court in Baghdad Reuters reports on Thursday.

  • It casts further doubts over the flows resuming after numerous false starts over the last two years.
  • Turkey also did not make any official statements about flows resuming this week despite Iraqi claims.
  • Iraq had said earlier this week it would export 185,000 bpd from Kurdistan's oilfields through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline once the oil shipments resume.

Historical bullets

EGB SYNDICATION: Austria dual-tranche: Priced

Jan-28 16:22

New 10-year Feb-35 RAGB

  • Reoffer price 99.596 to yield 2.997%.
  • Spread set earlier at MS+48bps (guidance was MS+51bps area)
  • Size: E5bln inc E250mln retained (MNI expected E4.5-5.0bln including E250-500mln retention)
  • Books closed in excess of E35bln (inc E3.15bln JLM interest)
  • HR 98% vs 2.50% Feb-35 Bund +43.7bps (ref: 99.470 / 2.560%)
  • Maturity: 20 February 2035
  • Coupon: 2.95% Long first
  • ISIN: AT0000A3HU25 

1.85% May-49 Green RAGB tap

  • Reoffer price 77.575 to yield 3.19%
  • Spread set at MS+78bps (guidance was MS+80bps area)
  • Size: E1.5bln inc E250mln retained (MNI expects E1.0-2.0bln)
  • Books closed in excess of E15bln (inc E800mln JLM interest)
  • HR 100% vs 1.25% Aug-48 Bund+43.0bps (ref: 74.110 / 2.760%)
  • ISIN: AT0000A2Y8G4

For both:

  • JLMs: BofA Securities, Deutsche Bank, Erste Group, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Raiffeisen Bank International
  • Timing: TOE 14:37GMT / 15:37CET. FTT immediately

From market source / Bloomberg

BTP: Spread To Bund Widens On Meloni Embezzlement Headlines

Jan-28 16:15

Headlines crossing from Reuters on Italian PM Meloni. Our Political Risk team are looking for further details:

  • "ITALY'S PRIME MINISTER MELONI: UNDER INVESTIGATION FOR EMBEZZLEMENT" RTRS
    "ITALY'S PRIME MINSITER MELONI: JUSTICE MINISTER AND OTHER GOVT OFFICIALS UNDER INVESTIGATION"
    "ITALY PM MELONI: INVESTIGATION RELATED TO THE CASE OF REPATRIATED LIBYAN POLICE OFFICER"

Some widening in the 10-year BTP/Bund spread following those headlines. Spread now back at 108bps (vs 107bps this morning). BTP futures have fallen some 15 ticks, now back at 119.00 at typing (-6 ticks today).

FED: US TSY 2Y FRN AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $29 MLN FROM $30.000 BLN TOTAL

Jan-28 16:15
  • US TSY 2Y FRN AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $29 MLN FROM $30.000 BLN TOTAL