SOFR: Mix Of Long Setting & Short Cover In Futures On Tuesday

Aug-20 10:03

OI data points to a mix of net long setting and short cover as SOFR futures generally ticked higher on Tuesday. There wasn’t much in the way of meaningful positioning swings in individual contracts and wider packs.

 

19-Aug-25

18-Aug-25

Daily OI Change

 

Daily OI Change In Packs

SFRM5

1,198,843

1,199,163

-320

Whites

-14,744

SFRU5

1,284,078

1,287,739

-3,661

Reds

-3,009

SFRZ5

1,418,700

1,424,297

-5,597

Greens

+5,013

SFRH6

1,036,778

1,041,944

-5,166

Blues

-9,790

SFRM6

933,170

927,706

+5,464

 

 

SFRU6

895,297

892,416

+2,881

 

 

SFRZ6

996,855

1,005,589

-8,734

 

 

SFRH7

736,485

739,105

-2,620

 

 

SFRM7

904,136

907,303

-3,167

 

 

SFRU7

590,855

590,453

+402

 

 

SFRZ7

599,716

596,896

+2,820

 

 

SFRH8

354,290

349,332

+4,958

 

 

SFRM8

275,193

273,561

+1,632

 

 

SFRU8

207,518

205,338

+2,180

 

 

SFRZ8

218,526

231,675

-13,149

 

 

SFRH9

150,758

151,211

-453

 

 

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: US Leading Index and T-Bills

Jul-21 10:02

US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate). All times ET

  • Jul-21 1000 Leading Index (-0.1%, -0.3%)
  • Jul-21 1130 US Tsy $82B 13W, $73B 26W bill auctions
  • FOMC now in media blackout

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. / MNI

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Trend Needle Points North

Jul-21 09:52
  • In the equity space, S&P E-Minis traded high last week resulting in a fresh cycle high. The climb confirms a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Note that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position highlighting a clear dominant uptrend. Sights are on 6381.50, a 1.764 projection of the Apr 7 - 10 - 21 price swing. Key support is at the 50-day EMA, at 6101.83. Support at the 20-day EMA is at 6246.73.
  • A bull cycle in EUROSTOXX 50 futures remains in play and recent weakness appears corrective. Support to watch is 5281.00, the low on Jul 1 and 4. A clear break of this price point would strengthen a bearish threat. Recent gains have exposed key resistance and the bull trigger at 5486.00, the May 20 high. It has been pierced, a clear breach of it would resume the medium-term bull cycle that began Apr 7 and open the 5500.00 handle.

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 2.5/3.5-month DTCs

Jul-21 09:40
Type2.5-month DTC3.5-month DTC
MaturitySep 29, 2025Oct 30, 2025
AmountE1.74blnE1.29bln
TargetE1.0-2.0blnE0.5-1.5bln
PreviousE1.21blnE1.39bln
Avg yield1.935%1.923%
Previous1.905%1.900%
Bid-to-cover1.55x1.43x
Previous2.05x1.67x
Previous dateJul 07, 2025Jul 07, 2025