US TSYS: Late SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Put Focus Ongoing

May-08 18:24

SOFR & Treasury put option flow continued to revolve around low delta downside puts as underlying rates continued to extend lows through the second half. Curves bear flattened with bonds underperforming after today's $25B 30Y auction tailed. Projected rate cut pricing cools vs. morning levels (*) as follows: Jun'25 at steady at -4.2bp, Jul'25 at -16.7bp (-18.7bp), Sep'25 -34.2bp (-38.4bp), Oct'25 -49.2bp (-55.7bp)

  • SOFR Options:
    • -10,000 SFRU5 96.43/96.93 call spds, 5.25
    • Update, over +55,000 SFRZ5 95.68 puts, 3.5 pit/screen
    • Block, 5,000 SFRZ5 95.50/95.87 put spds, 5.5 ref 96.40
    • +20,000 SFRZ5 95.68 puts, 3.5
    • +5,000 0QM5 97.56 calls, 1.5
    • 1,750 SFRK5 95.75/95.81 put spds ref 95.755
    • 2,000 SFRH6/2QH6 96.00 put spds on 3x2 ratio
    • 3,000 SFRM5 95.81/95.93 put spds ref 95.76
    • +2,500 SFRM5 95.68/95.81/95.93 put flys, 2.75
    • +3,000 SFRN5/SFRU5 96.18/96.37 call spd strip 2.0 over -6,000 0QM5 97.00/97.18 call spd
    • 3,500 SFRN5 95.75/95.87/96.00 put flys, 2.75
    • +5,750 SFRU5 95.81/SFRZ5 95.68 put spds, 1.5 net/Sep over
    • -2,000 3QN5 97.00/98.25 call spds, 4.0 ref 96.49
    • over 4,000 SFRN5 95.87 puts ref 96.11
    • 3,000 SFRM5 95.75 puts, ref 95.755
    • +3,500 SFRM5 95.75/95.87/96.00 put flys, 2.75
    • -1,500 SFRK5 95.50/95.62/95.75 put flys, 1.5 ref 95.755
    • +3,000 SFRM5 95.68/95.75/95.81 put flys, 1.75
    • -2,000 SFRN5 96.75/97.00 call spds, 1.0 ref 96.125
  • Treasury Options:
    • Update, +10,000 TYM/TYQ 112.5 call spds 44
    • 2,000 TYN5 111.5 calls vs. 110.5/111.5 2x1 put spds ref 111-13
    • 4,000 wk5 US 118/120 call spds ref 114-28
    • over 8,000 wk5 5Y 109.25/109.75 call spds ref 108-19.25
    • 2,100 TYN5 108.5/114.5 strangles ref 111-12.5
    • Block/screen, -30,000 TYN5 109.5/110.5 put spds 16 ref 111-21
    • 1,500 USQ5 108 puts ref 114-25
    • +4,700 wk3 TY 110 puts, 4
    • +2,000 TUN5 104.12/104.87 call spds, 12
    • -2,500 FVM5 108.25 puts, 15-14.5
    • +2,500 FVM5 108.75 puts, 30.5-31.5

Historical bullets

US TSY OPTIONS: May'25 10Y Call Spread Buying

Apr-08 18:12
  • +16,250 TYK5 113/114 call spds 11 vs. 111-18/0.11%

EURGBP TECHS: Holding On To Its Gains

Apr-08 18:00
  • RES 4: 0.8645 High Apr 23 ‘24       
  • RES 3: 0.8625 High Aug 8 ‘24  
  • RES 2: 0.8604 1.382 proj of the Mar 3 - 11 - 28 price swing
  • RES 1: 0.8593 High Aug 14 ‘24
  • PRICE: 0.8553 @ 16:29 BST Apr 8 
  • SUP 1: 0.8470/0.8397 Low Apr 7 / 20-day EMA 
  • SUP 2: 0.8316 Low Mar 28 and a key near-term support
  • SUP 3: 0.8299 Low Mar 5   
  • SUP 4: 0.8251 Low Mar 4

EURGBP maintains a bullish tone and the cross is holding on to its latest gains. A key resistance at 0.8474, the Jan 20 high, has been cleared. The breach of this hurdle highlights an important technical break and strengthens a bullish condition. Sights are 0.8593 next, the Aug 14 ‘24 high. On the downside, firm support lies at 0.8397, the 20-day EMA. The cross is overbought, a pullback would allow this condition to unwind.      

US SWAPS: Swap Curve Bull Steepening, Spreads Extend Inversion

Apr-08 17:56

Swap spreads have gapped to inverted session lows amid heavy swap-tied buying in short end over the last 30 minutes, 2Y through 5Y spds contract 4.5-5.0bp, 10Y swap -4.0 to -56.81 at the moment.