(INTNED; Baa1/A-/A+) Credit neutral. Q4 results are in-line with expectations. Looking at 2025 as a...
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A bearish theme in Brent futures remains present and for now, the latest strong recovery is considered corrective. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode condition, highlighting a dominant downtrend. A resumption of the bear cycle would open $58.27, the Apr 9 low. On the upside, key short-term resistance to watch is $64.81, the Oct 24 high. First resistance is $62.20, the 50-day EMA.
BTP futures traded sharply higher yesterday, extending the bounce that started Dec 10. It is still possible that the latest move higher is part of a corrective cycle. A continuation higher would open 120.77 next, the Dec 3 high. On the downside, a reversal would refocus attention on 119.45, the Dec 22 low, and 119.13, the Dec 10 low and bear trigger. Clearance of 119.13 would confirm a resumption of the recent bear leg.
The trend structure in USDJPY is bullish and the latest pullback - for now - appears corrective. Note that MA studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Attention is on 157.89, the Nov 20 high and a bull trigger. Clearance of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the uptrend. Support to watch lies at 154.71, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of it would undermine the bull theme and signal scope for a deeper correction.