COMMODITIES: Gold Remains in a Clear Bull Cycle

Sep-03 09:01

A bear cycle in WTI futures remains intact and the latest bull phase appears to be a correction. This short-term corrective cycle remains in play and Tuesday’s rally reinforces this theme. Initial resistance to watch is $66.56, the Aug 4 high. Key short-term resistance has been defined at $69.36, the Jul 30 high. Clearance of this level would cancel a bear theme. A resumption of weakness would pave the way for a move towards $57.71, the May 30 low. Gold remains in a clear bull cycle. This week’s gains have resulted in a breach of key resistance at $3500.1, the Apr 22 high, and delivered a fresh all-time high in the yellow metal. The break confirms a resumption of the primary uptrend and an extension of the sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The next objective is the $3600.00 handle. Initial firm support to watch lies at $3396.2, the 20-day EMA.

  • WTI Crude down $0.15 or -0.23% at $65.43
  • Natural Gas down $0.03 or -1.1% at $2.976
  • Gold spot up $7.24 or +0.2% at $3540.08
  • Copper down $0 or 0% at $464.05
  • Silver down $0.07 or -0.17% at $40.7962
  • Platinum down $14.54 or -1.03% at $1396.04

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: Bobl Trangle Option trade

Aug-04 08:57

OEU5 117/117.75^^, sold at 29.5 in 1k.

JPY: The Yen Catches up with the Swissy

Aug-04 08:46
  • The Yen is catching up with the CHF, still the second worst performer within G10 against the USD.
  • US Treasuries are hovering at session lows (tick higher in Yields), helping the USD paring some of its post NFP weakness.
  • Small resistance in the USDJPY moves down to 148.81, but as mentioned on the EU Cash Govie Open, the wild USDJPY plummeted from 150.52 post US NFP.

US TSY FUTURES: FV Blocked

Aug-04 08:38

Latest block trade lodged at 09:26:16 London/04:26:16 NY:

  • FVU5 3.0K lots blocked at 108-29+, looks like a seller.
  • DV01 ~$129K.