EU HEALTHCARE: Galderma (GALDSW: BBB Fitch): New 5YR FV

Mar-13 09:15

IPT: €BMK 5yr ms+135a

  • FV: ms+95 to put it just outside Sandoz curve as it is a new name. Could trade inside over time.
  • Inaugural deal in EUR for Cetaphil and Botox maker. A spin-off from L'Oreal and Nestle with a 40yr track record.
  • Very highly rated in Equity market. Spans Consumer and Pharma sectors with both B2B and B2C elements.
  • EBITDA margin 21% growing to 23% by 2028. Sales $4.4bn annually with low teens growth. Sandoz is larger $10.4bn but mid single-digits growth.
  • Within BBB healthcare space there are no direct comps but I will take Philips, Sandoz and Molnlycke
  • Reported net leverage is 2.3x guiding to <2.0x in Medium term (Fitch has 2.9x Gross falling to 2.4x by 2026)
  • UOP: includes debt repayment. Has been repaying debt since the IPO last year.
     

    Source: MNI/Bloomberg

GALDSW_FV

Historical bullets

DUTCH AUCTION RESULTS: 2.75% Jan-47 DSL

Feb-11 09:09
 2.75% Jan-47 DSL*Previous
ISINNL0010721999NL0015614579
AmountE1.995blnE1.96bln
Avg yield2.773%2.581%
Avg Price99.6249.82
Pre-auction mid99.52149.732
Previous date 10-Sep-24

EGB SYNDICATION: Italy 15-year BTP: Spread set

Feb-11 09:08
  • Spread set: 4.15% Oct-39 BTP +7bps (guidance was +9bps area)
  • Size: EUR benchmark (MNI expects E8-10bln)
  • Books in excess of E83bln (inc JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 1 October 2040
  • ISIN: TBC
  • Settlement: 18 February, 2025 (T+5)
  • Bookrunners: Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, Morgan Stanley and Nomura
  • Timing: Books open, pricing later today

From market source / Bloomberg

STIR: Modest Hawkish Reaction To Mann, 62bp Of BoE Cuts Priced Through Year-End

Feb-11 09:03

Modest hawkish reaction to comments from BoE hawk-turned-dove Mann, as she refers to the Bank’s MaPS survey when it comes to neutral rates (3.00-3.50% currently estimated), as opposed to the BOE's updated model-based estimates for equilibrium (2.25-3.75% estimate).

  • Mann’s activist approach is underscored here, as she notes that she expects “Bank Rate will average well above the nominal equilibrium.”
  • She also reaffirms the need for continued restrictiveness despite her preference for a 50bp cut last week.
  • ~62bp of cuts now priced through year-end vs. 64bp earlier today.
  • SONIA futures flat to -3.0, a little below pre-gilt open levels.

BoE Meeting

SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)

Difference vs. Cut-Adjusted SONIA Rate (bp)

Mar-25

4.400

-5.4

May-25

4.199

-25.5

Jun-25

4.120

-33.4

Aug-25

3.972

-48.3

Sep-25

3.930

-52.4

Nov-25

3.856

-59.9

Dec-25

3.834

-62.0