RENEWABLES: France Morning Renewable Forecast
See the latest French renewables forecast for base-load hours from this morning for the next seven days. In contrast to Germany, French wind will be between 13-14% load factors over 3-5 February (Mon-Wed) – likely placing French delivery costs at a discount to the latter over the period.
French: Wind for 30 January-6 February
- 30 January: 5.67GW
- 31 January: 2.65GW
- 1 February: 2.77GW
- 2 February: 2.67GW
- 3 February: 1.69GW
- 4 February: 1.11GW
- 5 February: 2.02GW
- 6 February: 3.33GW
French: Solar for 30 January-6 February
- 30 January: 1.11GW
- 31 January: 0.812GW
- 1 February: 2.11GW
- 2 February: 2.66GW
- 3 February: 2.75GW
- 4 February: 2.64GW
- 5 February: 2.53GW
6 February: 1.76GW
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COMMODITIES: Gold Slippage Undermines Bullish Theme
Gold traded sharply lower on Dec 18. That move down undermines a recent bullish theme. A resumption of weakness would signal scope for an extension towards the key support at $2536.9, the Nov 14 low. Moving average studies are in a bull mode position. A bearish threat in WTI futures remains present and recent gains are - for now - considered corrective. A resumption of the bear cycle would open $65.57, the Oct 1 low, and $63.73, the Sep 10 low and key support.
- WTI Crude down $0.29 or -0.41% at $70.28
- Natural Gas up $0.32 or +9.31% at $3.706
- Gold spot down $6.44 or -0.25% at $2613.09
- Copper down $0.95 or -0.23% at $411.5
- Silver down $0.01 or -0.05% at $29.342
- Platinum down $3.07 or -0.33% at $921.83
EQUITIES: Bearish Equity Threat Remains Present
A bear threat in the S&P E-Minis contract remains present and Friday’s move lower highlights the end of the recent Dec 20 - 26 corrective bounce. An extension lower would expose 5866.00, the Dec 20 low and a key short-term support. A bull cycle in the Eurostoxx 50 futures contract remains intact, however, the recent move down highlights a corrective phase. Despite the latest bounce, a short-term bear threat remains present - for now. Key short-term support has been defined at 4829.00.
- Japan's NIKKEI closed lower by 386.62 pts or -0.96% at 39894.54 and the TOPIX ended 16.76 pts lower or -0.6% at 2784.92.
- Elsewhere, in China the SHANGHAI closed higher by 7.184 pts or +0.21% at 3407.326 and the HANG SENG ended 49.04 pts lower or -0.24% at 20041.42.
- Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades lower by 53.28 pts or -0.27% at 19929.94, FTSE 100 lower by 37.9 pts or -0.47% at 8111.62, CAC 40 down 17.37 pts or -0.24% at 7337.98 and Euro Stoxx 50 down 13.31 pts or -0.27% at 4885.34.
- Dow Jones mini down 100 pts or -0.23% at 43239, S&P 500 mini down 15 pts or -0.25% at 6012, NASDAQ mini down 59.5 pts or -0.27% at 21639.75.
SILVER TECHS: Bearish Cycle Intact
- RES 4: $34.903 - High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
- RES 3: $33.125 - High Nov 1
- RES 2: $32.338 - High Dec 12 and a key resistance
- RES 1: $30.747 - 50-day EMA
- PRICE: $29.402 @ 08:26 GMT Dec 30
- SUP 1: $28.748 - Low Dec 19
- SUP 2: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle
- SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6
- SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8
A bear cycle in Silver that started Oct 23 remains in play. The metal has recently breached support at $29.642, the Nov 28 low. The break lower opens $28.446, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key resistance has been defined at $32.338, the Dec 12 high. A break of this level would signal a reversal.
