CZECHIA: Fiscal Council Chief Says Fight For Implementation Of Austerity Package Is Only Beginning

Jun-01 10:42

National fiscal watchdog head Mojmir Hampl, who served as CNB Deputy Governor until 2018, told public radio that the government's fiscal consolidation package is a "balanced and reasonable compromise," but the fight for its implementation is only beginning.

  • Hampl observed that the largest austerity measure is the reduction of state subsidies for businesses, which means that "the government implements the biggest part in the area in which it can decide on its own without consulting the parliament and without changing the legislation."
  • However, the official noted that the legislative initiatives forming the government's fiscal consolidation package involve changing 58 different laws, which may be a complex process. He added that measures such as tweaking VAT rates may have a non-trivial impact on prices.
  • Meanwhile, Komercni banka wrote today that the austerity package will dampen overall inflationary pressures going forward but at the cost of slower economic growth. They estimate that the austerity measures will lower headline inflation by up to .4pp and GDP growth by up to 0.7pp in 2024.

Historical bullets

BONDS: Gilt/Bund widest since October

May-02 10:37
  • Gilt/Bund spread test its widest level since October, now testing 141.00bps.
  • Some investors will look for resistance at 145.53bps, the 26th October high

Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg

ESM ISSUANCE: 3-month bill auction results

May-02 10:34
Maturity Aug 3, 2023
Amount E1.027bln
Target E1.1bln
Previous E1.053bln
Avg yield 3.1236%
Previous 2.9084%
Bid-to-cover 2.48x
Previous 3.15x
Previous date Apr 04, 2023

NOK: NOKSEK test lowest level since January 2021

May-02 10:29
  • Nokkie/Stokkie has broken Friday's low, which was also the lowest print since 05/01/21.
  • Further downside traction will have market participants look for support at 0.9500, followed by the December 2020 low at 0.9463, now trading at 0.9567.