SOFR OPTIONS: UPDATE BLOCK/Screen: Short Dec'25 SOFR Call Spread
Sep-17 15:16
-50,000 0QZ5 97.00/97.25 call spds, 10.0
STIR: Modest Hawkish Tilt Post-BoC In Fed Rates, 26bp Cut Priced For Today
Sep-17 15:16
US rates have seen a steady hawkish adjustment in BoC spillover, starting with the decision before an extension on Macklem’s press release noting that governing council considered leaving rates unchanged and not seeing a recession.
Moves are contained though ahead of the FOMC decision at 1400ET, not least with the BoC having seen a clear consensus to cut 25bps and there being more comfort that some upward pressures on underlying inflation are easing off.
Fed funds implied rates are 1.5bp higher since the decision through Dec-Mar meetings, whilst SOFR future implied yields are up to 2.5bps higher in late 2027 contracts (for +4bp on the day).
Cumulative cuts from 4.33% effective: 26bp for today, 45bp Oct, 67.5bp Dec, 80.5bp Jan and 95.5bp Mar.
SOFR implied terminal yield at 2.91% (SFRH7, +3bp) to shift back towards the higher end of its post-payrolls range roughly between 140-150bp of cuts from current levels.
FED: US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $547 MLN FROM $65.000 BLN TOTAL
Sep-17 15:15
US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $547 MLN FROM $65.000 BLN TOTAL