US DATA: Encouraging Signs In Dallas Fed Banking Conditions Survey

Feb-18 20:45

Released yesterday, the Dallas Fed's timely banking conditions survey showed encouraging signs for b...

Historical bullets

AUDUSD TECHS: Support Remains Intact

Jan-19 20:30
  • RES 4: 0.6872 38.2% retracement of the 2021 - 2025 L/T downtrend  
  • RES 3: 0.6858 1.000 proj of the Nov 21 - Dec 10 - 18 price swing
  • RES 2: 0.6795 0.764 proj of the Nov 21 - Dec 10 - 18 price swing
  • RES 1: 0.6767 High Jan 7 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 0.6715 @ 17:50 GMT Jan 19
  • SUP 1: 0.6664 Low Jan 9
  • SUP 2: 0.6639 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 3: 0.6593 Low Dec 18 
  • SUP 4: 0.6553 Low Dec 3  

Weakness off the Jan 14th high in AUDUSD still appears corrective. Note that moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position and this continues to highlight a dominant uptrend. The next key support to watch lies at 0.6639, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of the average would suggest potential for a deeper retracement. For bulls, a resumption of the uptrend would open 0.6795 next, a Fibonacci projection.

AUDUSD TECHS: Support Remains Intact

Jan-19 20:00
  • RES 4: 0.6872 38.2% retracement of the 2021 - 2025 L/T downtrend  
  • RES 3: 0.6858 1.000 proj of the Nov 21 - Dec 10 - 18 price swing
  • RES 2: 0.6795 0.764 proj of the Nov 21 - Dec 10 - 18 price swing
  • RES 1: 0.6767 High Jan 7 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 0.6715 @ 17:50 GMT Jan 19
  • SUP 1: 0.6664 Low Jan 9
  • SUP 2: 0.6639 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 3: 0.6593 Low Dec 18 
  • SUP 4: 0.6553 Low Dec 3  

Weakness off the Jan 14th high in AUDUSD still appears corrective. Note that moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position and this continues to highlight a dominant uptrend. The next key support to watch lies at 0.6639, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of the average would suggest potential for a deeper retracement. For bulls, a resumption of the uptrend would open 0.6795 next, a Fibonacci projection.   

USDJPY TECHS: Corrective Pullback

Jan-19 19:30
  • RES 4: 160.21 2.236 proj of the Dec 5 - 9 - 16 price swing
  • RES 3: 160.00 3.000 proj of the Sep 17 - 26 - Oct 1 price swing
  • RES 2: 159.60 2.000 proj of the Dec 5 - 9 - 16 price swing 
  • RES 1: 159.45 Jan 14 cycle high
  • PRICE: 158.05 @ 17:38 GMT Jan 19 
  • SUP 1: 157.28/155.92 20- and 50-day EMA values
  • SUP 2: 154.35 Low Dec 5 and a reversal trigger  
  • SUP 3: 153.62 Low Nov 14 
  • SUP 4: 152.82 Low Nov 7

The trend in USDJPY remains bullish and the latest move down is considered corrective. Recent gains resulted in a breach of resistance at 157.89, the Nov 20 high. This  maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Note that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on the 160.00 handle next,  a Fibonacci projection. Key support to watch is 155.92, the 50-day EMA.