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May-08 14:19

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Historical bullets

AUDUSD TECHS: Bull Reversal

Apr-08 14:19
  • Bull ReversalRES 4: 0.7187 High Mar 11 and key resistance
  • RES 3: 0.7161 High Mar 12    
  • RES 2: 0.7103 76.4% retracement of the Mar 11 - 30 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 0.7085 Intraday high 
  • PRICE: 0.7056 @ 15:18 BST Apr 8
  • SUP 1: 0.6959 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 2: 0.6876 Low Apr 6
  • SUP 3: 0.6833 Low Mar 30 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 0.6727 Trendline support drawn from the Apr 9 ‘25 low  

A strong rally in AUDUSD today means that price is once again trading above the 20- and 50-day EMAs. The setup in these two averages is bullish, highlighting a dominant uptrend and the latest rally suggests the recent corrective pullback is over. An extension higher would open 0.7103, a Fibonacci retracement, ahead of key resistance at 0.7187, the Mar 11 high. First support lies at 0.6959, the 50-day EMA.

EURGBP TECHS: Corrective Pullback

Apr-08 14:14
  • RES 4: 0.8797 High Dec 17
  • RES 3: 0.8789 High Feb 27 and key resistance
  • RES 2: 0.8747 76.4% retracement of the Feb 27 - Mar 16 bear leg
  • RES 1: 0.8742 High Mar 31 and Apr 1
  • PRICE: 0.8696 @ 15:13 BST Apr 8
  • SUP 1: 0.8686 Intraday low  
  • SUP 2: 0.8637/10 Low Mar 26 / 16 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 3: 0.8597 Low Aug 14
  • SUP 4: 0.8578 Low Jul 2 ‘25 

A strong rally last week in EURGBP confirmed a clear reversal of the bear cycle between Feb 27 and Mar 16. This opens 0.8747 next, the 76.4% retracement of the Feb - Mar bear leg. The pullback from recent highs is - for now - considered corrective. The cross has pierced support at the 50-day EMA, at 0.8690. A clear break of this average would signal scope for a deeper retracement. The bull trigger is at 0.8742, the Mar 31 and Apr 1 high.

GBPUSD TECHS: Retracement Mode

Apr-08 14:07
  • RES 4: 1.3597 61.8% retracement of the Jan 27 - Mar 31 bear leg    
  • RES 3: 1.3575 High Feb 26
  • RES 2: 1.3514 50.0% retracement of the Jan 27 - Mar 31 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 1.3484 Intraday high   
  • PRICE: 1.3456 @ 15:06 BST Apr 8
  • SUP 1: 1.3287/3159 Intraday low / Low Mar 31 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.3125 Low Nov 26 ‘25
  • SUP 3: 1.3038 Low Nov 20 ‘25 
  • SUP 4: 1.3010 Low Nov 4 & 5 and a key M/T support

Today’s rally in GBPUSD strengthens a short-term bullish theme and highlights an extension of the current corrective phase. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend and this suggests that - for now - gains are corrective. A continuation higher opens 1.3514, a Fibonacci retracement ahead of 1.3479, the Mar 23 high. Key support lies at 1.3159, the Mar 31 low.