US TSYS: Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Low Delta Put Focus Continues

Feb-10 14:25

SOFR & Treasury option flow continued to revolve around low delta put structures - carry-over from Monday, underlying futures climbing (TYH6 testing resistance at 112-16), curves bull flattening (2s10s currently -1.835 at 69.447 vs. 71.504 high). Projected rate cut pricing slightly higher vs. late Monday levels (*): Mar'26 at -5.6bp (-4.7bp), Apr'26 at -11.1bp (-10.1bp), Jun'26 at -25.8bp (-24.8bp), Jul'26 at -35.1bp (-34.1bp).

  • SOFR Options:
    • 3,000 SFRH6 96.37/96.43/96.50 put flys ref 96.395
    • +11,500 SFRM6/SFRZ6 96.31/96.43 put spd spd, 0.5 - flattener
    • 8,000 SFRG6 96.43/96.50 call spds ref 96.40
    • 4,000 0QM6 96.37/96.50 put spds
    • -5,000 SFRH6 96.37/96.50 put spds, 9.75 ref 96.40
    • -2,000 0QG6 96.62/96.87/97.12 2x3x1 put flys, 11.0 ref 96.885
    • +2,000 SFRZ6 97.00/97.25 call spds vs. 96.37 put, 3.0 ref 96.885
    • 0qm6 96.50/96.375 ps vs 96.83 7% seller 2s 4k 644am
  • Treasury Options:
    • 8,000 FVH6 108.25/108.5/108.75 put flys ref 109-09
    • 6,000 Wednesday wkly 109 puts, 4 ref 109-07.25
    • 3,000 FVH6 109/109.25 call spds, 8 ref 109-06.75
    • over +33,500 FVH6 109 puts, 8.5 ref 109-06.25
    • 3,500 FVH6 109.25 calls, 13 ref 109-06.5
    • -3,000 TUJ6 104.37 puts, 10 vs 104-13.75/0.46%
    • +2,000 TYH6 111/112 put spds, 11 ref 112-09.5
    • +2,000 TYH6 112.5/112.75/113.25 broken call trees, 1.0 ref 112-04.5
    • +3,000 TYH6 112.25 straddles, 40 ref 112-10.5
    • -1,500 USK6 110 puts, 25 ref 115-11
    • -2,000 TYK6 113.5 calls, 26
    • over 7,800 TYH6 112 puts, 12 ref 112-08.5
    • over +10,000 USJ6 118/119 call spds, 11 vs. 115-31 to -22/0.06%
    • over 4,900 wk2 TY 111.75 puts, 4
    • over 6,900 wk2 TY 112.25 puts, 17-15
    • 2,000 wk2 TY 112.25 calls, 16

Historical bullets

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS: (H6) Recovery Mode

Jan-10 22:45
  • RES 3: 97.796 - 1.618 proj of the Sep 3 - 12 - 15 price swing
  • RES 2: 96.780 - High Jun 26 (cont)
  • RES 1: 96.700 - High Sep 12  
  • PRICE: 95.890 @ 16:40 GMT Jan 9
  • SUP 1: 95.740 - Low Dec 22
  • SUP 2: 95.480 - Low 1st Nov ‘23
  • SUP 3: 94.932 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope

Prices bounced again Thursday, supported by strength in global bond markets and a smoother inflation picture at the December CPI print. As such, prices edged further away from recent lows. Nonetheless, slower pricing for additional RBA easing - and partial pricing for a return to rate hikes in 2026 - should keep the front-end of the curve under pressure. This keeps prices well below prior resistance at 96.615, the Sep 12 high, and refocuses attention on 95.480 as the next major support. 

MNI: MNI TEST 02, Please Ignore

Jan-09 23:36

Test Test TEST

MNI: MNI Test, Please Ignore

Jan-09 23:30

Test, ignore