UK: Chancellor Kwarteng To Announce Medium-Term Fiscal Plan Nov 23
UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng has outlined his "growth plan" in a Treasury Department statement.
- According to the statement, "Cabinet Ministers will announce further supply side growth measures in October and early November."
- "Next month, the Chancellor will, as part of that programme, outline regulatory reforms to ensure the UK’s financial services sector remains globally competitive."
- "He will then set out his Medium-Term Fiscal Plan on 23 November. The Fiscal Plan will set out further details on the government’s fiscal rules, including ensuring that debt falls as a share of GDP in the medium term."
- "He has requested that the OBR sets out a full forecast alongside the Fiscal Plan, on 23 November."
- "The Chancellor also confirmed that there will be a Budget in the Spring, with a further OBR forecast."
- Full statement: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/update-on-growt...
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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS: (U2) Outlook Deteriorating
- RES 3: 97.455 - High Mar 18
- RES 2: 97.185/275 - High Apr 5 / 200-dma
- RES 1: 97.040 - High Aug 03
- PRICE: 96.395 @ 15:51 BST Aug 26
- SUP 1: 96.275 - Low Aug 25
- SUP 2: 96.208 - 3.0% Lower Bollinger Band
- SUP 3: 95.663 - Low Jun 16
Aussie 10yr futures slipped further Thursday and have dipped below key support at 96.355, Jul 22 low. This weakens the bull cycle posted since mid-June, opening the gap with the 200-dma on the continuation contract, at 97.275. The bull trigger is 97.040, the Aug 3 high. On the downside, recent weakness suggests scope for a deeper retracement towards the mid-Jun low of 95.663.
US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK, Late Dec 2Y Buy
+5,000 TUZ2 104-09.62, buy through 104-09.38 post-time offer at 1549:16ET
USDCAD TECHS: Still Trading Below Tuesday’s High
- RES 4: 1.3224 High Jul 14 and key resistance
- RES 3: 1.3135 High Jul 15
- RES 2: 1.3107 76.4% retracement of the Jul 14 - Aug 11 downleg
- RES 1: 1.3063 High Aug 23
- PRICE: 1.2998 @ 16:37 BST Aug 26
- SUP 1: 1.2887 50-day EMA values
- SUP 2: 1.2828/2764 Low Aug 17 / 200-dma
- SUP 3: 1.2728 Low Aug 11 and key support
- SUP 4: 1.2685 76.4% retracement of the Jun 8 - Jul 14 upleg
USDCAD rallied into the Friday close having found support at the Thursday low, however, the pair remains below Tuesday’s 1.3063 short-term trend high. Near-term trend conditions still appear bullish following the recent strong recovery from 1.2728, the Aug 17 low. A resumption of gains and a break of 1.3063 would open 1.3107 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that MA studies are in a bull mode condition, highlighting an uptrend. Initial firm support is at 1.2887, the 50-day EMA.
