SPAIN AUCTION RESULTS: Bono/Obli/ObliEi

Apr-04 08:47
Coupon 3.50% 3.25% 3.90% 2.05%
Maturity May-29 Apr-34 Jul-39 Nov-39
Instrument Bono Obli Obli Obli-Ei
ISIN ES0000012M51 ES0000012M85 ES0000012L60 ES0000012M69
Amount E2.186bln E2.132bln E1.745bln E506mln
Previous E1.708bln E2.3bln E2.323bln E510mln
Avg yield 2.848% 3.191% 3.531% 1.329%
Previous 2.857% 3.162% 3.630% 1.381%
Bid-to-cover 1.73x 1.81x 1.56x 2.02x
Previous 1.79x 2.22x 1.46x 2.35x
Avg Price 103.073 100.478 104.273 110.122
Low Price 103.050 100.440 104.210 110.020
Pre-auction mid 103.008 100.349 104.099 109.929
Prev avg price 103.078 100.737 103.124 109.388
Prev low price 103.050 100.700 103.040 109.320
Prev mid-price 102.999 100.575 102.974 109.181
Previous date 07-Mar-24 07-Mar-24 18-Jan-24 07-Mar-24

Historical bullets

US TSYS: Firmer, TY Futures In Yesterday's Ranges

Mar-05 08:34

The rally in European bonds lends support to Tsys, although TYM4 sticks to yesterday’s range.

  • Franch production data initially helped EGBs higher, before firmer-than-expected Spanish PMI readings capped the move.
  • TYM4 last +0-06 at 110-30 (110-23-111-00 range).
  • Next resistance comes in at the Mar 4/1 highs (111-01/02).
  • Cash Tsy yields 2.0-2.5bp lower across the curve in a parallel shift.
  • Services ISM data headlines the U.S. calendar today, although more focus falls on this week’s testimony from Fed Chair Powell & Friday’s NFP release.
  • FOMC-dated OIS is little changed to a touch softer on the day, showing ~85bp of ’24 cuts, with ~20bp of cuts priced through June ’24.
  • Fed Governor Barr will make a couple of appearances today, although they will be centred on regulatory matters so are unlikely to be too market moving re: Fed pricing.

EGB SYNDICATION: German 30-year Tap: Books open

Mar-05 08:33
  • Guidance: +1.75bp area vs. DBR 1.8% 08/15/53 (DE0001102614) - MID
  • Size: EUR Benchmark (MNI expects E3-4bln)
  • Maturity: 15 August 2054
  • Retention: The issuer may retain some bonds in a size to be specified
  • Coupon: 2.5% Fixed, Ann. ACT/ACT, long first on 15 August 2025 (35 days accrued)
  • Settlement: 12 March 2024 (T+5)
  • ISIN: DE000BU2D004
  • Bookrunners: Deutsche Bank, GSBE (B&D/DM), HSBC, Morgan Stanley and Nomura
  • Timing: Books open / today's business

From market source

BONDS: EUREX ROLLS (updated)

Mar-05 08:31

EUREX ROLL: Most of the Volumes (~90%) is spread related in Eurex, trading outright and on legs.

A decent jump in Bobl spread around 65k in 3 clips, explains OEH4 trading twice the volume seen in Bund and Schatz.

  • Buxl: 58%.
  • Bund: 60%.
  • Bobl: 72%.
  • Schatz: 70%.
  • BTP: 72%.
  • BTS; 52%.
  • OAT: 75%.