EURJPY TECHS: Bear Threat Remains Present

Jan-19 20:00
  • RES 4: 143.16 61.8% retracement of the Dec 15 - Jan 3 bear leg
  • RES 3: 142.86/94 High Jan 11 / High Dec 28 and key resistance
  • RES 2: 141.69 High Jan 18
  • RES 1: 140.62/141.69 20-day EMA / High Jan 18
  • PRICE: 138.70 @ 16:27 GMT Jan 19
  • SUP 1: 137.92 Low Jan 19
  • SUP 2: 137.39 Low Jan 3 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 3: 137.03 Low Aug 29
  • SUP 4: 136.02 Low Aug 25

A strong rally in EURJPY Wednesday failed to signal a short-term reversal and instead, the move from Wednesday’s high leaves support at 137.39 exposed, the Jan 3 low and bear trigger. A break lower would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open 137.03, Aug 29 low. Moving average studies remain in a bear mode position and this highlights a dominant downtrend. Key resistance is at the 141.69/142.86 zone, the Jan 18 and 11 highs respectively.

Historical bullets

US STOCKS: Equity Roundup: Energy and Materials Outperform

Dec-20 19:55

Major indexes making modest gains in late trade, near midmorning highs with Energy and Materials sectors outperforming. SPX eminis currently trade +7 (0.18%) at 3852.25; DJIA +114.98 (0.35%) at 32871.18; Nasdaq +3.5 (0%) at 10549.28.

  • SPX leading/lagging sectors: Energy sector lead for the second day (+1.57%) partially tied to firmer crude prices (WTI +0.83 at 76.02) w/ equipment and servicer stocks (SLB +3.43%, HAL +3.11%, BKR +3.06%) outpacing O&G refiners. Materials up next (+0.78%) with metals/mining shares outperforming: Newmont Corp (NEM) +5.18%.
  • Laggers: Consumer Discretionary (-0.83%), Real Estate (-0.09%) and Health Care (+0.09%) sectors underperformed in late trade. Consumer Discretionary weighed by autos, particularly Tesla (-5.83%).
  • Dow Industrials Leaders/Laggers: Boeing (BA) +3.31 at 188.99, Caterpillar (CAT) +2.67 at 234.96, Honeywell (HON) +2.55 at 211.96.
  • Laggers: Home Depot (HD) -1.77 at 315.56, United Health (UNH) -1.00 at 522.60, MMM -0.60 at 121.53.

US: President Biden Finishes 2022 With Surge In Approval

Dec-20 19:43

President Biden is finishing the year on an approval surge. This week has seen Biden achieve his best net-approval rating since December last year.

  • According to Fivethirtyeight.com, President Biden's approval rate of 43.1 is the highest recorded by Biden since January 3 this year.
  • Biden's current approval, while still underwater, is a significant improvement on the 37.5% approval he experienced in mid-July.
  • The recent uptick in approval reflects the strong Democrat performance at the US midterm elections and a month of political setbacks suffered by former President Donald Trump which saw his brand of Republicanism widely rejected at the ballot box and legal cases disupt his 2024 presidential campagin.

Figure 1: President Biden Approval Rating (FiveThirtyEight)

US: GOP Rep Brady Presser Ahead Of Trump Tax Returns Meeting Underway Shortly

Dec-20 19:42

14:45 ET 19:45 GMT: Ranking Republican on the House Ways and Means Committee Rep Kevin Brady (R-TX) is shortly due to give a press conference ahead of the Ways and Means committee meeting to deliberate on releasing the tax records of former President Donald Trump.

  • Livestream: https://www.c-span.org/video/?524969-1/ways-means-committee-ranking-member-brady-news-conference
  • Brady tweeted yesterday: "Thx to Democrats & [President] Biden, Congress now has nearly unlimited power to target political enemies by obtaining & making public private tax returns - to destroy opponents. Not just public officials, private citizens, biz/labor leaders, even [Supreme Court] justices."
  • In a statement Brady wrote: “Ways and Means Democrats are unleashing a dangerous new political weapon that reaches far beyond President Trump, and jeopardizes the privacy of every American." “We urge Democrats...not to unleash this dangerous new political weapon on the American people.”
  • Chad Pegram at Fox News writes that, "Democrats have been mysteriously quiet about what happens behind closed doors at today’s session."