OIL PRODUCTS: ARA STOCKS - ARA oil product stocks according to Insights Global:

Jul-04 14:19

Inventory type, latest level, weekly change (all in thousand metric tons) as follows:

  • Gasoline: 1,109, -15
  • Naphtha: 462, -11
  • Gasoil: 2,184, -13
  • Fuel Oil: 1,422, -103
  • Jet Fuel: 1,022, +102

Historical bullets

BONDS: Bunds & Gilts track Tsys Post-JOLTS

Jun-04 14:17

Knee-jerk fresh session highs for gilts and Bunds on the back of the JOLTS data, tracing U.S. Tsys, before a fade back from best levels on the previously covered revisions to quits rate.

STIR: Little Net Movement In Fed Pricing On Noisy JOLTS Data

Jun-04 14:14

The dovish move in Fed pricing sees a modest extension on the back of the softer-than-expected JOLTS job opening print, before upward revisions to the quits rate data help counter the move.

  • The prior month’s JOLTS job openings print also saw a negative revision.
  • Note that the headline print shows the shallowest level of job openings seen since Feb ’21, with the COVID induced jump higher in the metric continuing to unwind.
  • A reminder that various rounds of Fedspeak have flagged an unexpected loosening in the labour market as a potential catalyst for cuts, albeit with more prominence given to higher-for-longer discussions as we moved into the pre-FOMC blackout period.
  • The data leaves ~45bp of cuts priced into FOMC-dated OIS through year end (vs. 44bp pre-data).
  • Just under 80% odds of a cut through the Sep FOMC are priced, with ~28bp of cuts priced through the Nov FOMC, little changed vs. pre-data levels.

US TSY OPTIONS: Pre-Data 5Y Vol Sale, Short-Term 10Y Call Buy Post-Data

Jun-04 14:14
  • +15,000 wk1 10Y 109.5 calls, 46 ref 109-30 - expire Friday
  • -10,000 FVN4 105.75/107.25 strangles, 24