OPTIONS: Expiries for Mar28 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)
Mar-28 10:15
EUR/USD: $1.0950-60(E1.0bln), $1.1000(E532mln)
USD/JPY: Y120.50-70($649mln)
USD/CAD: C$1.2535-50($1.0bln)
EGB OPTIONS: Bund put spread seller
Mar-28 10:12
RXK2 157/156ps, sold at 34 in 3.4k
STIR FUTURES: Fed Priced For A Further 8.5 Hikes This Year
Mar-28 10:11
Further supply side disruption fears from a two-stage lockdown in Shanghai have helped push Fed hike expectations even higher.
This follows from an increasing number of analysts calling for multiple 50bp hikes on Friday, the pick being Citi looking for four consecutive 50bp hikes.
Today’s adjustment has been in 2H22, struggling to price much more over immediate meetings.
FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures for May and June meetings are unchanged from late Fri with 44bps for May and 88bps for June. The latter implies a 21% chance of 75bps, 57% of 100bps and 22% of 125bps over the two meetings.
Further out, cumulative hikes for Dec are up another 10bps to a new high of 216bps.