BUNDS: Greek/Bund spread test resistance

Apr-27 10:16
  • With the Greek 10yr Yield back above 3.00%, did print a 3.134% high yesterday, now at 3.092%.
  • The Greek/Bund spread is wider by another 9bps, and testing through initial resistance at 223.69, now at 224bps.
  • Above the latter, opens to 229.72bps, the 11th March high (widest)

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Expiries for Mar28 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Mar-28 10:15
  • EUR/USD: $1.0950-60(E1.0bln), $1.1000(E532mln)
  • USD/JPY: Y120.50-70($649mln)
  • USD/CAD: C$1.2535-50($1.0bln)

EGB OPTIONS: Bund put spread seller

Mar-28 10:12

RXK2 157/156ps, sold at 34 in 3.4k

STIR FUTURES: Fed Priced For A Further 8.5 Hikes This Year

Mar-28 10:11
  • Further supply side disruption fears from a two-stage lockdown in Shanghai have helped push Fed hike expectations even higher.
  • This follows from an increasing number of analysts calling for multiple 50bp hikes on Friday, the pick being Citi looking for four consecutive 50bp hikes.
  • Today’s adjustment has been in 2H22, struggling to price much more over immediate meetings.
  • FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures for May and June meetings are unchanged from late Fri with 44bps for May and 88bps for June. The latter implies a 21% chance of 75bps, 57% of 100bps and 22% of 125bps over the two meetings.
  • Further out, cumulative hikes for Dec are up another 10bps to a new high of 216bps.

Source: Bloomberg