A volatile impulsive bull wave in WTI futures remains intact. The recent sharp pullback has allowed an extreme overbought trend condition to unwind. A key support zone to monitor is $76.92 - $68.95, the area between the 20- and 50-day EMAs. A clear break through this zone would signal a possible trend reversal. On the upside, a continuation higher near-term would open $103.15 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Gold remains in consolidation mode and is trading below $5419.11, the Mar 2 high. A short-term bullish theme is intact following recent gains. The metal has cleared all key retracement points of the sharp sell-off between Jan 29 - Feb 2. This strengthens the short-term bullish theme and signals scope for an extension towards key resistance and the bull trigger at $5595.5, the Jan 29 high. Initial firm support to watch lies at $4921.6, the 50-day EMA.
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Of note:
EURUSD ~1bn at 1.1900.
USDJPY 1.67bn at 154.00 (thu).
USDCNY 1.1bn at 6.9000 (thu).
EURUSD 11.18bn between 1.1850/1.1955 (fri).
USDCNY 1.2bn at 6.9000 (fri).
Details per Bloomberg / with MNI colour
SFRH6/U6 paper paid -41.5 on 2K.