COMMODITIES: WTI Futures Hoilding Onto Bulk of Thursday's Rally

Mar-13 09:16

A volatile impulsive bull wave in WTI futures remains intact. The recent sharp pullback has allowed an extreme overbought trend condition to unwind. A key support zone to monitor is $76.92 - $68.95, the area between the 20- and 50-day EMAs. A clear break through this zone would signal a possible trend reversal. On the upside, a continuation higher near-term would open $103.15 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Gold remains in consolidation mode and is trading below $5419.11, the Mar 2 high. A short-term bullish theme is intact following recent gains. The metal has cleared all key retracement points of the sharp sell-off between Jan 29 - Feb 2. This strengthens the short-term bullish theme and signals scope for an extension towards key resistance and the bull trigger at $5595.5, the Jan 29 high. Initial firm support to watch lies at $4921.6, the 50-day EMA.

  • WTI Crude down $0.18 or -0.19% at $95.53
  • Natural Gas up $0.05 or +1.55% at $3.284
  • Gold spot up $10.91 or +0.21% at $5090.83
  • Copper down $6.55 or -1.12% at $580.3
  • Silver down $1.24 or -1.48% at $82.6485
  • Platinum down $50.31 or -2.36% at $2082.63

Historical bullets

FOREX: FX OPTION EXPIRY - Large Expiry in the EUR Friday

Feb-11 09:12

Of note:

EURUSD ~1bn at 1.1900.

USDJPY 1.67bn at 154.00 (thu).

USDCNY 1.1bn at 6.9000 (thu).

EURUSD 11.18bn between 1.1850/1.1955 (fri).

USDCNY 1.2bn at 6.9000 (fri).

  • EURUSD: 1.1825 (1.52bn), 1.1850 (792mln), 1.1870 (451mln), 1.1900 (934mln), 1.1950 (371mln), 1.2000 (2.17bn).
  • GBPUSD: 1.3640 (362mln).
  • USDCAD: 1.3500 (282mln), 1.3540 (300mln).
  • USDCNY: 6.9000 (500mln), 6.9200 (678mln).

EGB SYNDICATION: France 30-year May-57 OAT: Spread Set

Feb-11 09:07
  • Size: E8bln (MNI expected E8bln) of the new 30-year May-57 OAT
  • Spread: 3.75% May-56 OAT (ISIN: FR001400XJJ3) +4 (Guidance was 3.75% May-56 OAT +6 Area)
  • Books in excess of E103bln (including JLM interest)
  • Coupon: Annual, act/act
  • Settlement: Feb. 18, 2026 (t+5)
  • ISIN: FR0014016CV2
  • Bookrunners: BNPP, CA-CIB, JPM (B&D), MS, SocGen
  • Timing: May price today.

Details per Bloomberg / with MNI colour

SOFR: SFRH6/U6 Lifted

Feb-11 09:04

SFRH6/U6 paper paid -41.5 on 2K.