* MNI FV: MS+100a / UKT+85a. * IPT: Exp. GBP300m Short 3Y Green UKT+110-115 (market sources). * Benc...
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Silver has pulled back from its mid-April recovery high of $83.054. MA studies remain in a bear-mode position and this continues to highlight a dominant downtrend. It also suggests that the recovery since Mar 23, is likely a correction. A resumption of weakness would expose the bear trigger at $61.007, the Mar 23 low. A break of this level would resume the downtrend. First resistance to watch is $84.174, a Fibonacci retracement point.
Gold is trading closer to its recent highs despite the latest pullback. A resumption of gains would resume the correction that started on Mar 23 and pave the way for an extension towards the $5000.0 handle and $5107.6, a Fibonacci retracement point. Initial firm support to watch lies at $4554.2, the Apr 2 low. A break of this level would be bearish. Note that MA studies are in a bear-mode position. This continues to highlight a stronger bearish threat.
Recent weakness in WTI futures appears to have been corrective. Key support around the 50-day EMA, at $85.08, remains intact. It has been pierced, however, a clear break of it is required to signal scope for a deeper retracement. A continuation higher would open $104.34, the Mar 9 high and bull trigger. Clearance of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the primary uptrend. Note that MA studies are in a bull-mode position.