In North East Asia FX, aggregate moves in FX haven't been large, amidst multiple cross asset trends. USD/CNH probed above 7.1200 but found selling interest. USD/KRW downside has proved fleeting, despite an onshore equity bounce. USD/TWD downside have also proven modest. South Korean and Taiwan shares have surged around 3%, as Nvidia earnings in the US were better than forecast and reduced fears (at least in the near term) around chip/AI bubble concerns. Some offset is coming from higher USD/JPY levels, which is probing through 157.50. The broader USD backdrop still looks supportive amidst firmer yields (although AUD and NZD have ticked higher).
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A bull cycle in Schatz futures remains intact following recent gains and the latest pullback is for now, considered corrective. Last week’s climb resulted in a break of 107.190, the Oct 5 and 8 high. This signals scope for a climb towards 107.348 next, a Fibonacci retracement point on the continuation chart. Note that the contract is overbought. A deeper pullback would allow this condition to unwind. Initial key support lies at 107.098, the 20-day EMA.
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 21-Oct | 0700 | Sep | Public Sector Finances |
| 21-Oct | 1000 | --- | BOE Saporta Fireside Chat at Islamic Development Bank |
| 21-Oct | 1130 | --- | BOE Bailey & Breeden on Private Markets |
| 21-Oct | 2015 | --- | BOE Mann Fireside Chat at Lazard |
| 22-Oct | 0700 | Sep | Consumer inflation report / Producer Prices |
| 23-Oct | 1100 | Oct | CBI Industrial Trends |
| 24-Oct | 0001 | Oct | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 24-Oct | 0700 | Sep | Retail Sales |
| 24-Oct | 0930 | Oct | S&P Manuf / Services / Composite PMI (p) |
| 27-Oct | 1100 | Oct | CBI Distributive Trades |
| 28-Oct | 0001 | Oct | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
| 29-Oct | 0001 | Sep | Brightmine pay deals for whole economy |
| 29-Oct | 0930 | Sep | BOE Lending to Individuals / M4 |
| 31-Oct | 0930 | --- | ONS Blue Book / Pink Book |
| 03-Nov | 0930 | Oct | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final) |
| 05-Nov | 0930 | Oct | S&P Global Services / Composite PMI (Final) |
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 21-Oct | 0800 | EU | ECB Lane at Macroeconomics & Finance Conference |
| 21-Oct | 1000 | EU | Government Debt / Government Deficit |
| 21-Oct | 1200 | EU | ECB Lagarde Keynote at Norges Bank Climate Conference |
| 22-Oct | 1200 | EU | ECB de Guindos at Barcelona Real Assets Meeting |
| 22-Oct | 1325 | EU | ECB Lagarde at Frankfurt Finance & Future Summit |
| 23-Oct | 0745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
| 23-Oct | --- | EU | ECB Lagarde at Euro Summit in Brussels |
| 23-Oct | 1430 | EU | ECB Lane Award Acceptance Speech |
| 23-Oct | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
| 24-Oct | 0745 | FR | Consumer Sentiment |
| 24-Oct | 0800 | ES | PPI |
| 24-Oct | 0815 | FR | S&P Global Manufacturing / Services PMI (p) |
| 24-Oct | 0830 | DE | S&P Global Manufacturing / Services PMI (p) |
| 24-Oct | 0900 | EU | S&P PMIs (p) / ECB Cipollone on International Finance |
| 24-Oct | 1400 | BE | BNB Business Confidence |
| 27-Oct | 0900 | EU | ECB Consumer Expectations Survey / M3 |
| 27-Oct | 0900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
| 27-Oct | 0915 | EU | ECB Elderson Keynote on Banking Governance |