OPTIONS: US Options Roundup - Jun 12 2026

Jun-12 19:15

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Friday's U.S. rates/bond options flow included: * FVN6 107.00/107.50 1x2 call spread paper paid 0-0...

Historical bullets

COMMODITIES: Crude Pulls Back, Gold Declines

May-13 19:14
  • WTI has lost ground on the day but remains in 3-day range as the market digests the impacts of the US-Iran war, with the IEA flagging record inventory draws.
  • WTI Jun 26 is down by 1.2% at $101.0/bbl.
  • Shipments from Iran's main export terminal Kharg Island appear to have come to a standstill over the past several days, according to satellite images, the first sign of a prolonged halt since the start of the war.
  • As President Trump departs for his summit with Xi in Beijing, his rhetoric has sharpened. He signalled that high gas prices will not force him into a peace deal.
  • The primary bull cycle in WTI futures remains intact, despite the latest pullback. Key resistance and the bull trigger has been defined at $110.93, the Apr 30 high.
  • On the downside, key support is seen at $90.96, the 50-day EMA, which has been pierced. A clear break of the 50-day average is required to signal scope for a deeper retracement.
  • Meanwhile, gold has edged down today, as the US dollar has traded with a firmer tone amid the lingering middle east uncertainties.
  • Spot gold is down by 0.6% at $4,688/oz.
  • Gold continues to trade above its recent lows, although a bearish tone remains intact. A continuation of the move lower would signal scope for a move towards $4,306.4, the Mar 24 low.
  • On the upside, a stronger reversal higher would resume the correction that started on Mar 23 and open the $5,000.0 handle.

FED: Reserve Management Purchases Slashed More Than Expected To $10B/Month

May-13 19:13

The NY Fed has released its schedule for the next month of Reserve Management Purchases of bills (link)

  • "The Desk plans to conduct approximately $16.3 billion in reinvestment purchases and an additional approximately $10 billion in reserve management purchases over the noted monthly period."
  • For the Fed's Reserve Management Purchases of bills, the $10B in planned purchases in the coming month is well down from $25B last month and $40B from the prior 4 months that kicked off the reserve purchases, and at the low end of expectations that we'd seen which had largely been for a $5B to $10B reduction to $15B - $20B/month.
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EURJPY TECHS: Breaches Resistance

May-13 19:00
  • RES 4: 187.95 High Apr 17 and the bull trigger   
  • RES 3: 187.56 High Apr 30
  • RES 2: 186.56 76.4% retracement of the Apr 17 - May 6 bear leg  
  • RES 1: 185.70/186.07 76.4% of Apr 17 - May 6 bear leg / Low Apr 28 
  • PRICE: 184.84 @ 16:10 BST May 13
  • SUP 1: 183.50/182.05 Low May 07 / 06 and a bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 181.87 Low Mar 16 and a key support
  • SUP 3: 181.42 Low Feb 18 
  • SUP 4: 180.81 Low Feb 12 and a key M/T support  

EURJPY is holding on to its recent gains. The latest recovery has resulted in a breach of the 50-day EMA - currently at 184.89. The break is a bullish development and undermines the recent bearish threat. Note that the cross has also pierced the 20-day EMA. A continuation higher would open 187.95, the Apr 17 high and the bull trigger. Key support has been defined at 182.05, the May 6 low.