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US DATA: Solid Weekly ADP One Week Out From Monthly Reference Period
Feb-24 13:32
ADP employment increased an average 12.75k per week in the four weeks to Feb 7, a fresh high since late November.
It follows an upward revised 11.5k in the four weeks to Jan 31 (initially 10.25k) and a marginally downward revised 7.25k (vs 7.75k) to Jan 24.
Stopping one week from the reference period taken for next week’s February report, the monthly equivalent of 51k looks solid compared to the 22k in January and 37k in December. It’s softer than the 74k shown in November after huge revisions a few weeks back having originally been reported as a 34k decline.
Whilst latest weekly ADP data have stabilized after what were previously seen as declines in the summer to fall of 2025, they still lagged a surprisingly strong 172k increase in private payrolls in the BLS January report (a reminder of limited correlation on a month-to-month basis between the two measures).