OIL: Uncertainty over tariffs halts oil shipments from Brazil to US, says lobby

Jul-30 19:37

Uncertainty over tariffs halts oil shipments from Brazil to US, says lobby group - rtrs

  • Roberto Ardenghy, president of oil lobby group IBP, told Reuters on Wednesday that energy companies operating in Brazil suspended oil shipments to the United States after President Trump announced 50% tariffs on Brazilian exports.
  • Oil is Brazil's top export to the US and was exempt from the 10% April tariff imposed on Brazilian exports, but it is unclear whether it will remain exempt under the new 50% tariff set to come into effect on Friday.
  • "This time we have no way of knowing," said Ardenghy. "Business involving cargo that has to leave Brazil for the U.S. is suspended," Ardenghy said. He also said instead of shipping their product to the United States, companies are storing oil on floating production vessels or on cargo ships.
  • If there is no exemption for oil, Brazil is likely to redirect shipments to Europe and India, he said. "But, for now, everything is on hold, waiting for what will come on August 1st.”
  • Brazil exported a total of 1.78 mb/d in 2024, of which 243,000 b/d went to the US, according to government data compiled by consultancy group StoneX.

Historical bullets

US TSY OPTIONS: Large Aug'25 10Y Ratio Put Spread After the Bell

Jun-30 19:37

125,000 option package:

  • 25,000 TYQ5 110.5/111.5 3x2 put spreads, 24 ref 112-04

PIPELINE: Late Corporate Bond Update: Venture Global 2Pt Upsized to $4B

Jun-30 19:33

$11.75B to Price Monday

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 06/30 $4B #Venture Global Plaquemines $2B 8.5NCL 6.5%, $2B 10.5NCL 6.75%
  • 06/30 $4B #SMFG $700M 6NC5 +87, $900M 6NC5 SOFR+119, $700M 8NC7 +97, $700M 11NC10 +102, $1B 21NC20 +102
  • 06/30 $1.5B *ABN Amro $750M 3Y +50, $750M 3Y SOFR+75
  • 06/30 $1.25B #Niagara Mohawk Power $500M +5Y +85, $750M 30Y +120
  • 06/30 $1B *SoftBank $500M 5Y +90, $500M 10Y +110

AUDUSD TECHS: Trend Structure Remains Bullish

Jun-30 19:30
  • RES 4: 0.6700 76.4% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Apr 9 bear leg
  • RES 3: 0.6688 High Nov 7 ‘24
  • RES 2: 0.6603 High Nov 11 ‘24
  • RES 1: 0.6573 High June 30
  • PRICE: 0.6571 @ 17:06 BST Jun 30
  • SUP 1: 0.6492 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 0.6454/6373 Low Jun 24 / 23 and a reversal trigger     
  • SUP 3: 0.6357 Low May 12
  • SUP 4: 0.6275 Low Apr 14

The medium-term trend set-up in AUDUSD remains bullish. Strong gains last week reinforces a bull theme and confirms the end of the latest corrective pullback. Sights are on key resistance and the bull trigger, at 0.6552, the Jun 16 high. This level has been pierced, a clear break would confirm a resumption of the trend and open 0.6603, the Nov 11 2024 high. Key short-term support has been defined at 0.6373, the Jun 23 low.