UK DATA: UK CPI Data Shouldn't Trigger Huge Moves

• RES 4: $70.16 - High Jun 23 and a key medium-term resistance 
• RES 3: $64.97 - High Sep 26
• RES 2: $61.25 - High Oct 24 and a key resistance  
• RES 1: $58.74 - 50-day EMA    
• PRICE: $57.22 @ 07:16 GMT Dec 22
• SUP 1: $54.89 - Low Dec 16
• SUP 2: $54.71 - Low Apr 9 and a key support
• SUP 3: $53.77 - 1.764 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing
• SUP 4: $52.27 - 2.000 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing   

The trend condition in WTI futures remains bearish and short-term gains are considered corrective. MA studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. A key support and the bear trigger at $56.11, the Oct 17 low, has been breached. Clearance of this level resumes the downtrend and opens $53.77, a Fibonacci projection. Key short-term resistance to watch is $61.25, the Oct 24 high. First resistance is at $58.74, the 50- day EMA.

• RES 4: $70.86 - 76.4% retracement of the Jun 23 - Oct 17 bear leg  
• RES 3: $70.33 - High Jul 30
• RES 2: $68.86 - High Sep 26 and a key resistance 
• RES 1: $62.65/65.25 - 50-day EMA / High Oct 24 
• PRICE: $61.18 @ 07:12 GMT Dec 22 
• SUP 1: $58.72 - Low Dec 16   
• SUP 2: $58.11 - Low Apr 9 and a key support
• SUP 3: $87.72 - 1.764 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing
• SUP 4: $56.22 - 2.000 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing 

A bearish theme in Brent futures remains present and for now, short-term gains are considered corrective. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode condition, highlighting a dominant downtrend. A resumption of the bear cycle would open $58.11, the Apr 9 low. On the upside, key short-term resistance to watch is $65.25, the Oct 24 high. First resistance is $62.65, the 50-day EMA.

• RES 4: 7021.79 0.618 proj Nov 21 - Dec 11 - 18 price swing   
• RES 3: 7014.00 High Oct 30 and the bull trigger
• RES 2: 6932.25/6988.00 High Dec 15 / 12
• RES 1: 6832.25 20-day EMA    
• PRICE: 6908.50 @ 07:08 GMT Dec 22
• SUP 1: 6771.50 Low Dec 18
• SUP 2: 6737.71 61.8% retracement of the Nov 21 - Dec 11 rally 
• SUP 3: 6678.58 76.4% retracement of the Nov 21 - Dec 11 rally
• SUP 4: 6583.00 Low Nov 21  

The recent pullback in S&P E-Minis appears corrective. A key short-term support has been defined at 6771.50, the Dec 18 low. A break of this level would signal scope for a deeper retracement of the recent bull phase between Nov 21 - Dec 11. This would open 6737.71, a Fibonacci retracement. For bulls a stronger resumption of gains would refocus attention on key resistance at 7014.00, the Oct 30 high.