IRAN: Trump: Guarantees from Iran on 20-Year Moratorium Not Enough
May-15 10:39
"*TRUMP: GUARANTEES FROM IRAN ON 20 YEAR MORATORIUM NOT ENOUGH" BBG "*TRUMP: TALKED A LOT ABOUT IRA...
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STIR: US Rates Mildly Lower On The Day, Less Reactive To Mixed Geopol Headlines
Apr-15 10:35
- US rates are mildly lower on the day, giving back some of yesterday’s second half rally.
- There was limited reaction to earlier AP reports that mediators' efforts to extend a ceasefire between the US and Iran have made progress although on the flip side recent headlines of Iran warning against a continuation of the US blockade are helping keep rates towards session lows.
- Cumulative cuts from 3.64% effective: 0bp Apr, 0bp Jun, 2bp Jul, 3.5bp Sep, 5bp Oct, 9.5bp Dec building to 17bp with Jun 2027.
- SOFR futures are currently up to 2 ticks through U7-M8 contracts as opposed to recent moves being led by front reds.
- The SOFR terminal implied yield of 3.37% (H8) closed at 3.35% yesterday for its lowest close since Mar 18. It compares with a range of 3.075% (Mar 2) - 3.55% (Mar 26) for closes since first US-Israel strikes on Iran on Feb 28.
LOOK AHEAD: Wednesday Data Calendar: Imp/Exp Prices, Fed Speak, TIC Flow
Apr-15 10:32
- US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate). All times ET
- 04/15 0700 MBA Mortgage Applications (-0.8%, --)
- 04/15 0830 Empire Mfg (-0.2, 0.0)
- 04/15 0830 Import Price Index MoM (1.3%, 2.3%), YoY (1.3%, 4.4%)
- 04/15 0830 Export Price Index MoM (1.5%, 1.5%), YoY (3.5%, 4.8%)
- 04/15 0830 Fed Gov Barr moderated discussion
- 04/15 0830 Cleveland Fed Hammack on CNBC
- 04/15 1000 NAHB Housing Market Index (38, 37)
- 04/15 1130 US Tsy $69B 17W bill auctions
- 04/15 1345 Fed VC Bowman moderated discussion IIF Forum
- 04/15 1400 Fed Beige Book
- 04/15 1600 Total Net TIC Flows (-$25B, --)
- 04/15 1600 Net Long-term TIC Flows ($15.5B, --)
- Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. / MNI
SOFR: SFRZ8 Blocked
Apr-15 10:31
Latest block trade lodged at 06:24:41 NY/11:24:41 London:
- SFRZ8 2K lots blocked at 96.545, looks like a buyer.
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