EURGBP TECHS: Trend Needle Points South

Jun-27 18:00
  • RES 4: 0.8768 High May 5
  • RES 3: 0.8719 High May 23
  • RES 2: 0.8656 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 0.8636 High Jun 5
  • PRICE: 0.8595 @ 16:17 BST Jun 27
  • SUP 1: 0.8518 Low Jun 19 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 0.8479 1.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 3: 0.8454 76.4% retracement of the Mar - Sep 2022 bull cycle
  • SUP 4: 0.8408 Low Aug 24 2023

The primary trend direction in EURGBP is unchanged and remains down. The pullback from Friday’s high confirms recent gains as corrective. Resistance at the 20-day EMA has been breached, however, price has remained below resistance at 0.8656, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this average would highlight a stronger reversal. For bears, clearance of 0.8518, the Jun 19 low, would confirm a resumption of the trend.

Historical bullets

US: Debt Ceiling Deal Has Been Reached

May-28 01:10

NY Times reported negotiators reached a deal "in principle to raise the debt limit for two years while cutting and capping some government spending over the same period, a breakthrough after a marathon set of crisis talks that has brought the nation within days of its first default in history, three people familiar with the agreement said."

JGB TECHS: (M3) Corrects Lower

May-26 22:45
  • RES 3: 151.26 - High Mar 3 2022
  • RES 2: 149.75/150.81 - High Nov 11 / High Aug 5 2022
  • RES 1: 149.53 High Mar 22
  • PRICE: 148.53 @ 16:25 BST May 26
  • SUP 1: 147.31/27 - 50-day EMA / Low Apr 18
  • SUP 2: 145.80/144.73 - Low Mar 13 / Low Feb 13
  • SUP 3: 144.15 - Low Jan 13

JGBs slid sharply Thursday, as hawkish Ueda comments prompted a correction. The bounce Friday helped stall any more protracted pullback, although the gap with next resistance at 149.17 remains. The strong recovery from 147.27, the Apr 18 low confirms the corrective nature of the recent pullback, keeping medium-term attention on 149.53, the Mar 22 high and the bull trigger. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the uptrend. To the downside, the 50-dma provides support at 147.31, just above the Apr 18 low.

MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $38.8B MAY 25 VS $49.5B PREV DAY

May-26 20:00



  • MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $38.8B MAY 25 VS $49.5B PREV DAY